**Recent model releases and incremental gains in math reasoning have created a tightly contested race for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard by late November.** Current lab rankings show Anthropic and Google holding the top spots with narrow leads in Elo scores, while Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and Meta sit in a close cluster just behind, separated by roughly 10–40 points amid ongoing updates to chain-of-thought training and specialized datasets. Market-implied odds around 50% for multiple outcomes, with Google at 28% and Z.ai at 20.5%, underscore the uncertainty as traders weigh potential new releases, benchmark volatility, and competitive positioning from both established Western labs and Chinese developers. Key upcoming catalysts include further model iterations expected before the November 30 resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
Google 28%
Z.ai 21%
Alibaba 14.3%
Meta 9.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
28%
Z.ai
21%
Alibaba
14%
Meta
9%
Moonshot
9%
DeepSeek
8%
StepFun
8%
Anthropic
6%
Amazon
5%
Thinky
5%
Mistral
4%
Nvidia
4%
OpenAI
4%
Baidu
4%
Microsoft
4%
Bytedance
2%
SpaceXAI
8%
Xiaomi
1%
Meituan
1%
MiniMax
8%
Tencent
8%
Google 28%
Z.ai 21%
Alibaba 14.3%
Meta 9.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
$72 Обс.
28%
Z.ai
$173 Обс.
21%
Alibaba
$383 Обс.
14%
Meta
$72 Обс.
9%
Moonshot
$150 Обс.
9%
DeepSeek
$127 Обс.
8%
StepFun
$560 Обс.
8%
Anthropic
$72 Обс.
6%
Amazon
$213 Обс.
5%
Thinky
$102 Обс.
5%
Mistral
$64 Обс.
4%
Nvidia
$84 Обс.
4%
OpenAI
$78 Обс.
4%
Baidu
$80 Обс.
4%
Microsoft
$77 Обс.
4%
Bytedance
$118 Обс.
2%
SpaceXAI
$118 Обс.
8%
Xiaomi
$283 Обс.
1%
Meituan
$72 Обс.
1%
MiniMax
$85 Обс.
8%
Tencent
$67 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Recent model releases and incremental gains in math reasoning have created a tightly contested race for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard by late November.** Current lab rankings show Anthropic and Google holding the top spots with narrow leads in Elo scores, while Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and Meta sit in a close cluster just behind, separated by roughly 10–40 points amid ongoing updates to chain-of-thought training and specialized datasets. Market-implied odds around 50% for multiple outcomes, with Google at 28% and Z.ai at 20.5%, underscore the uncertainty as traders weigh potential new releases, benchmark volatility, and competitive positioning from both established Western labs and Chinese developers. Key upcoming catalysts include further model iterations expected before the November 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,050Дата завершення
Dec 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Recent model releases and incremental gains in math reasoning have created a tightly contested race for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard by late November.** Current lab rankings show Anthropic and Google holding the top spots with narrow leads in Elo scores, while Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and Meta sit in a close cluster just behind, separated by roughly 10–40 points amid ongoing updates to chain-of-thought training and specialized datasets. Market-implied odds around 50% for multiple outcomes, with Google at 28% and Z.ai at 20.5%, underscore the uncertainty as traders weigh potential new releases, benchmark volatility, and competitive positioning from both established Western labs and Chinese developers. Key upcoming catalysts include further model iterations expected before the November 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$3,050Дата завершення
Dec 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model releases and incremental gains in math reasoning have created a tightly contested race for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard by late November.** Current lab rankings show Anthropic and Google holding the top spots with narrow leads in Elo scores, while Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and Meta sit in a close cluster just behind, separated by roughly 10–40 points amid ongoing updates to chain-of-thought training and specialized datasets. Market-implied odds around 50% for multiple outcomes, with Google at 28% and Z.ai at 20.5%, underscore the uncertainty as traders weigh potential new releases, benchmark volatility, and competitive positioning from both established Western labs and Chinese developers. Key upcoming catalysts include further model iterations expected before the November 30 resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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