Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, anchors the 96.7% market-implied odds by leading multiple September 2026 leaderboards including BenchAlign, HLE, and agentic indexes with scores around 84.6 and 65%, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and other frontier models. Verified benchmark results and Anthropic's internal data showing Claude handling 26% of its own R&D work have reinforced trader consensus on its current edge in reasoning, coding, and agentic capabilities. With resolution just days away, a late competitor release or independent benchmark revision could still alter the outcome, though no such developments appear imminent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
Anthropic 96.6%
Meta 1.8%
Google 1.0%
OpenAI 1.0%
$107,512 Обс.
$107,512 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
97%
Meta
2%
1%
OpenAI
1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 96.6%
Meta 1.8%
Google 1.0%
OpenAI 1.0%
$107,512 Обс.
$107,512 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$46,518 Обс.
97%
Meta
$10,854 Обс.
2%
$6,057 Обс.
1%
OpenAI
$12,424 Обс.
1%
SpaceXAI
$3,511 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$5,004 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$3,229 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,872 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$4,223 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$769 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,250 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$436 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$436 Обс.
<1%
Thinky
$1,313 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$930 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$1,554 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$436 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$920 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$2,658 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$1,360 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$762 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, anchors the 96.7% market-implied odds by leading multiple September 2026 leaderboards including BenchAlign, HLE, and agentic indexes with scores around 84.6 and 65%, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and other frontier models. Verified benchmark results and Anthropic's internal data showing Claude handling 26% of its own R&D work have reinforced trader consensus on its current edge in reasoning, coding, and agentic capabilities. With resolution just days away, a late competitor release or independent benchmark revision could still alter the outcome, though no such developments appear imminent.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$107,512Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overallВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, anchors the 96.7% market-implied odds by leading multiple September 2026 leaderboards including BenchAlign, HLE, and agentic indexes with scores around 84.6 and 65%, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and other frontier models. Verified benchmark results and Anthropic's internal data showing Claude handling 26% of its own R&D work have reinforced trader consensus on its current edge in reasoning, coding, and agentic capabilities. With resolution just days away, a late competitor release or independent benchmark revision could still alter the outcome, though no such developments appear imminent.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$107,512Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overallВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, anchors the 96.7% market-implied odds by leading multiple September 2026 leaderboards including BenchAlign, HLE, and agentic indexes with scores around 84.6 and 65%, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and other frontier models. Verified benchmark results and Anthropic's internal data showing Claude handling 26% of its own R&D work have reinforced trader consensus on its current edge in reasoning, coding, and agentic capabilities. With resolution just days away, a late competitor release or independent benchmark revision could still alter the outcome, though no such developments appear imminent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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