The ongoing federal trial in Oakland, where Elon Musk seeks up to $150 billion in damages from OpenAI and Sam Altman over alleged breach of the company's original nonprofit charter, has driven the strong market consensus against a $10 billion-plus settlement. Closing arguments concluded last week with no agreement reached, despite Musk's pre-trial outreach to OpenAI president Greg Brockman that was rebuffed. Legal hurdles, including statute-of-limitations challenges and OpenAI's defense that Musk once backed its for-profit pivot, have kept the case contested through weeks of testimony. Jury deliberations are set to begin imminently, yet traders view a massive payout as unlikely given the complex corporate governance issues at stake and OpenAI's competitive position in large language model development.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоElon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
$79,572 Обс.
$79,572 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$79,572 Обс.
$79,572 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing federal trial in Oakland, where Elon Musk seeks up to $150 billion in damages from OpenAI and Sam Altman over alleged breach of the company's original nonprofit charter, has driven the strong market consensus against a $10 billion-plus settlement. Closing arguments concluded last week with no agreement reached, despite Musk's pre-trial outreach to OpenAI president Greg Brockman that was rebuffed. Legal hurdles, including statute-of-limitations challenges and OpenAI's defense that Musk once backed its for-profit pivot, have kept the case contested through weeks of testimony. Jury deliberations are set to begin imminently, yet traders view a massive payout as unlikely given the complex corporate governance issues at stake and OpenAI's competitive position in large language model development.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$79,572Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing federal trial in Oakland, where Elon Musk seeks up to $150 billion in damages from OpenAI and Sam Altman over alleged breach of the company's original nonprofit charter, has driven the strong market consensus against a $10 billion-plus settlement. Closing arguments concluded last week with no agreement reached, despite Musk's pre-trial outreach to OpenAI president Greg Brockman that was rebuffed. Legal hurdles, including statute-of-limitations challenges and OpenAI's defense that Musk once backed its for-profit pivot, have kept the case contested through weeks of testimony. Jury deliberations are set to begin imminently, yet traders view a massive payout as unlikely given the complex corporate governance issues at stake and OpenAI's competitive position in large language model development.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$79,572Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing federal trial in Oakland, where Elon Musk seeks up to $150 billion in damages from OpenAI and Sam Altman over alleged breach of the company's original nonprofit charter, has driven the strong market consensus against a $10 billion-plus settlement. Closing arguments concluded last week with no agreement reached, despite Musk's pre-trial outreach to OpenAI president Greg Brockman that was rebuffed. Legal hurdles, including statute-of-limitations challenges and OpenAI's defense that Musk once backed its for-profit pivot, have kept the case contested through weeks of testimony. Jury deliberations are set to begin imminently, yet traders view a massive payout as unlikely given the complex corporate governance issues at stake and OpenAI's competitive position in large language model development.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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