Anthropic’s mid-April launch of Claude Opus 4.7 has anchored trader consensus, delivering clear leads on Arena leaderboards, SWE-bench coding tasks, and agentic benchmarks that outpace Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 by meaningful margins. The model’s stronger performance on complex, real-world workflows and lower hallucination rates in production evaluations have reinforced its frontrunner status through mid-May. With only two weeks left before the end-of-May resolution, the 92.5% implied probability reflects this sustained edge, though a surprise Gemini update or OpenAI capability jump before the cutoff could still narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best AI model end of May?
Which company has the best AI model end of May?
Anthropic 93%
Google 8%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$8,708,804 Обс.
$8,708,804 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
93%
8%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 93%
Google 8%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$8,708,804 Обс.
$8,708,804 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$633,862 Обс.
93%
$576,805 Обс.
8%
OpenAI
$727,186 Обс.
1%
ByteDance
$535,902 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$543,195 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$506,231 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$514,425 Обс.
<1%
xAI
$658,069 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$517,535 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$475,917 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$469,793 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$403,756 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$1,421,640 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$311,904 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$412,851 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s mid-April launch of Claude Opus 4.7 has anchored trader consensus, delivering clear leads on Arena leaderboards, SWE-bench coding tasks, and agentic benchmarks that outpace Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 by meaningful margins. The model’s stronger performance on complex, real-world workflows and lower hallucination rates in production evaluations have reinforced its frontrunner status through mid-May. With only two weeks left before the end-of-May resolution, the 92.5% implied probability reflects this sustained edge, though a surprise Gemini update or OpenAI capability jump before the cutoff could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,708,804Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s mid-April launch of Claude Opus 4.7 has anchored trader consensus, delivering clear leads on Arena leaderboards, SWE-bench coding tasks, and agentic benchmarks that outpace Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 by meaningful margins. The model’s stronger performance on complex, real-world workflows and lower hallucination rates in production evaluations have reinforced its frontrunner status through mid-May. With only two weeks left before the end-of-May resolution, the 92.5% implied probability reflects this sustained edge, though a surprise Gemini update or OpenAI capability jump before the cutoff could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Обсяг
$8,708,804Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s mid-April launch of Claude Opus 4.7 has anchored trader consensus, delivering clear leads on Arena leaderboards, SWE-bench coding tasks, and agentic benchmarks that outpace Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 by meaningful margins. The model’s stronger performance on complex, real-world workflows and lower hallucination rates in production evaluations have reinforced its frontrunner status through mid-May. With only two weeks left before the end-of-May resolution, the 92.5% implied probability reflects this sustained edge, though a surprise Gemini update or OpenAI capability jump before the cutoff could still narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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