Trader consensus assigns Anthropic a 69% implied probability of leading in math-focused AI models by end of May, reflecting its Claude large language model’s recent gains on rigorous benchmarks for mathematical reasoning and problem-solving. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s o-series reasoning models and Google’s Gemini updates has narrowed their shares to 15% each, as traders weigh demonstrated capability improvements against Anthropic’s consistent edge in handling multi-step proofs and competition-level problems. With resolution approaching quickly, upcoming model releases or third-party evaluations could still shift sentiment, though current positioning highlights Anthropic’s stronger recent technical trajectory in this specialized domain.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best Math AI model end of May?
Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?
Anthropic 70%
Google 16%
OpenAI 14%
xAI <1%
$115,131 Обс.
$115,131 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
70%
16%
OpenAI
14%
xAI
1%
ByteDance
1%
Z.ai
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
Baidu
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 70%
Google 16%
OpenAI 14%
xAI <1%
$115,131 Обс.
$115,131 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$18,952 Обс.
70%
$11,032 Обс.
16%
OpenAI
$18,662 Обс.
14%
xAI
$8,724 Обс.
1%
ByteDance
$6,720 Обс.
1%
Z.ai
$6,536 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$6,392 Обс.
1%
Meta
$6,348 Обс.
1%
Baidu
$6,786 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$7,026 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$7,869 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$2,116 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$4,546 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$1,909 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,512 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus assigns Anthropic a 69% implied probability of leading in math-focused AI models by end of May, reflecting its Claude large language model’s recent gains on rigorous benchmarks for mathematical reasoning and problem-solving. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s o-series reasoning models and Google’s Gemini updates has narrowed their shares to 15% each, as traders weigh demonstrated capability improvements against Anthropic’s consistent edge in handling multi-step proofs and competition-level problems. With resolution approaching quickly, upcoming model releases or third-party evaluations could still shift sentiment, though current positioning highlights Anthropic’s stronger recent technical trajectory in this specialized domain.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$115,131Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus assigns Anthropic a 69% implied probability of leading in math-focused AI models by end of May, reflecting its Claude large language model’s recent gains on rigorous benchmarks for mathematical reasoning and problem-solving. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s o-series reasoning models and Google’s Gemini updates has narrowed their shares to 15% each, as traders weigh demonstrated capability improvements against Anthropic’s consistent edge in handling multi-step proofs and competition-level problems. With resolution approaching quickly, upcoming model releases or third-party evaluations could still shift sentiment, though current positioning highlights Anthropic’s stronger recent technical trajectory in this specialized domain.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Обсяг
$115,131Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns Anthropic a 69% implied probability of leading in math-focused AI models by end of May, reflecting its Claude large language model’s recent gains on rigorous benchmarks for mathematical reasoning and problem-solving. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s o-series reasoning models and Google’s Gemini updates has narrowed their shares to 15% each, as traders weigh demonstrated capability improvements against Anthropic’s consistent edge in handling multi-step proofs and competition-level problems. With resolution approaching quickly, upcoming model releases or third-party evaluations could still shift sentiment, though current positioning highlights Anthropic’s stronger recent technical trajectory in this specialized domain.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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