OpenAI's commanding 98.2% implied probability reflects its unmatched revenue momentum from the ChatGPT platform and GPT large language models, which continue to drive the bulk of paid subscriptions and developer API usage across the AI sector. Traders view this lead as structurally durable given OpenAI's enterprise contracts and consumer scale, far ahead of Google's slower Gemini monetization and Anthropic's more limited commercial footprint. A realistic challenge could emerge only from an abrupt spike in Google's AI infrastructure deals or a major Anthropic partnership disclosure that materially boosts weekly figures, though both would need to exceed historical patterns to meaningfully shift the market consensus before the period closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?
OpenAI 98.0%
Google 1.4%
MiniMax <1%
Anthropic <1%
$27,310 Обс.
$27,310 Обс.
OpenAI
98%
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
xAI
<1%
OpenAI 98.0%
Google 1.4%
MiniMax <1%
Anthropic <1%
$27,310 Обс.
$27,310 Обс.
OpenAI
98%
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
xAI
<1%
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Ринок відкрито: May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's commanding 98.2% implied probability reflects its unmatched revenue momentum from the ChatGPT platform and GPT large language models, which continue to drive the bulk of paid subscriptions and developer API usage across the AI sector. Traders view this lead as structurally durable given OpenAI's enterprise contracts and consumer scale, far ahead of Google's slower Gemini monetization and Anthropic's more limited commercial footprint. A realistic challenge could emerge only from an abrupt spike in Google's AI infrastructure deals or a major Anthropic partnership disclosure that materially boosts weekly figures, though both would need to exceed historical patterns to meaningfully shift the market consensus before the period closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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