Recent benchmark updates have driven strong trader consensus toward Anthropic at 71.5% implied probability for the third-best large language model by end of May. Claude Opus 4.7 and related variants have posted leading scores on SWE-bench Verified for coding, GPQA Diamond for reasoning, and agentic evaluations in Chatbot Arena, outpacing rivals in long-context tool use and multi-step workflows. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro holds 29% odds on consistent multimodal and efficiency strengths, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 leads select intelligence indices yet trails in recent agentic rankings. With resolution imminent, minor leaderboard shifts or new releases could still alter the podium before May 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the third best AI model end of May?
Which company has the third best AI model end of May?
Anthropic 71%
Google 29%
OpenAI 1.4%
xAI <1%
$91,782 Обс.
$91,782 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
71%
29%
OpenAI
1%
xAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
Meta
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 71%
Google 29%
OpenAI 1.4%
xAI <1%
$91,782 Обс.
$91,782 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$13,941 Обс.
71%
$10,754 Обс.
29%
OpenAI
$6,995 Обс.
1%
xAI
$7,524 Обс.
1%
Baidu
$5,797 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$5,647 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$4,407 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$7,381 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$5,549 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$3,744 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$2,590 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$6,814 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$3,666 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$2,361 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$4,613 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent benchmark updates have driven strong trader consensus toward Anthropic at 71.5% implied probability for the third-best large language model by end of May. Claude Opus 4.7 and related variants have posted leading scores on SWE-bench Verified for coding, GPQA Diamond for reasoning, and agentic evaluations in Chatbot Arena, outpacing rivals in long-context tool use and multi-step workflows. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro holds 29% odds on consistent multimodal and efficiency strengths, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 leads select intelligence indices yet trails in recent agentic rankings. With resolution imminent, minor leaderboard shifts or new releases could still alter the podium before May 31.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$91,782Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent benchmark updates have driven strong trader consensus toward Anthropic at 71.5% implied probability for the third-best large language model by end of May. Claude Opus 4.7 and related variants have posted leading scores on SWE-bench Verified for coding, GPQA Diamond for reasoning, and agentic evaluations in Chatbot Arena, outpacing rivals in long-context tool use and multi-step workflows. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro holds 29% odds on consistent multimodal and efficiency strengths, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 leads select intelligence indices yet trails in recent agentic rankings. With resolution imminent, minor leaderboard shifts or new releases could still alter the podium before May 31.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Обсяг
$91,782Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent benchmark updates have driven strong trader consensus toward Anthropic at 71.5% implied probability for the third-best large language model by end of May. Claude Opus 4.7 and related variants have posted leading scores on SWE-bench Verified for coding, GPQA Diamond for reasoning, and agentic evaluations in Chatbot Arena, outpacing rivals in long-context tool use and multi-step workflows. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro holds 29% odds on consistent multimodal and efficiency strengths, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 leads select intelligence indices yet trails in recent agentic rankings. With resolution imminent, minor leaderboard shifts or new releases could still alter the podium before May 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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