OpenAI's rapid iteration on frontier models has traders focused on its aggressive release cadence, with GPT-5.5 launching April 23 for enhanced coding and reasoning, followed by GPT-5.5 Instant on May 5 as ChatGPT's new default, and specialized Daybreak for cybersecurity defense released May 12. Internal testing of GPT-5.6 checkpoints—ember-alpha and beacon-alpha—began this week, signaling a potential June rollout amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's withheld Mythos and Google's Gemini advancements. Key resolution hinges on public availability of a demonstrably superior large language model surpassing prior benchmarks; watch Google I/O next week for timing catalysts or delays from safety evaluations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?
НОВЕ
May 31, 2026
May 31
27%
June 30
84%
September 30
92%
$9,499 Обс.
May 31
$2,145 Обс.
27%
June 30
$2,303 Обс.
84%
September 30
$5,051 Обс.
92%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's rapid iteration on frontier models has traders focused on its aggressive release cadence, with GPT-5.5 launching April 23 for enhanced coding and reasoning, followed by GPT-5.5 Instant on May 5 as ChatGPT's new default, and specialized Daybreak for cybersecurity defense released May 12. Internal testing of GPT-5.6 checkpoints—ember-alpha and beacon-alpha—began this week, signaling a potential June rollout amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's withheld Mythos and Google's Gemini advancements. Key resolution hinges on public availability of a demonstrably superior large language model surpassing prior benchmarks; watch Google I/O next week for timing catalysts or delays from safety evaluations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,499Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's rapid iteration on frontier models has traders focused on its aggressive release cadence, with GPT-5.5 launching April 23 for enhanced coding and reasoning, followed by GPT-5.5 Instant on May 5 as ChatGPT's new default, and specialized Daybreak for cybersecurity defense released May 12. Internal testing of GPT-5.6 checkpoints—ember-alpha and beacon-alpha—began this week, signaling a potential June rollout amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's withheld Mythos and Google's Gemini advancements. Key resolution hinges on public availability of a demonstrably superior large language model surpassing prior benchmarks; watch Google I/O next week for timing catalysts or delays from safety evaluations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$9,499Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's rapid iteration on frontier models has traders focused on its aggressive release cadence, with GPT-5.5 launching April 23 for enhanced coding and reasoning, followed by GPT-5.5 Instant on May 5 as ChatGPT's new default, and specialized Daybreak for cybersecurity defense released May 12. Internal testing of GPT-5.6 checkpoints—ember-alpha and beacon-alpha—began this week, signaling a potential June rollout amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's withheld Mythos and Google's Gemini advancements. Key resolution hinges on public availability of a demonstrably superior large language model surpassing prior benchmarks; watch Google I/O next week for timing catalysts or delays from safety evaluations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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