**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources converge on a daily minimum of 27°C for August 19, 2026, with a range of 26–28°C most probable under prevailing conditions.** Persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and cloud cover from scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows elevated near seasonal norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent observations show no incoming cold fronts or tropical systems capable of altering steering patterns or introducing drier air before midweek, while the broader August–October outlook from the Observatory calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with traders weighting the latest model runs that show minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
27°C 38%
26°C 26%
28°C 25%
25°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
26%
27°C
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
26°C 26%
28°C 25%
25°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$141 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$183 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$462 Обс.
2%
25°C
$217 Обс.
11%
26°C
$497 Обс.
26%
27°C
$391 Обс.
38%
28°C
$368 Обс.
25%
29°C
$145 Обс.
3%
30°C
$288 Обс.
1%
31°C
$287 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$82 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources converge on a daily minimum of 27°C for August 19, 2026, with a range of 26–28°C most probable under prevailing conditions.** Persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and cloud cover from scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows elevated near seasonal norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent observations show no incoming cold fronts or tropical systems capable of altering steering patterns or introducing drier air before midweek, while the broader August–October outlook from the Observatory calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with traders weighting the latest model runs that show minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,062Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources converge on a daily minimum of 27°C for August 19, 2026, with a range of 26–28°C most probable under prevailing conditions.** Persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and cloud cover from scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows elevated near seasonal norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent observations show no incoming cold fronts or tropical systems capable of altering steering patterns or introducing drier air before midweek, while the broader August–October outlook from the Observatory calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with traders weighting the latest model runs that show minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,062Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources converge on a daily minimum of 27°C for August 19, 2026, with a range of 26–28°C most probable under prevailing conditions.** Persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and cloud cover from scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows elevated near seasonal norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent observations show no incoming cold fronts or tropical systems capable of altering steering patterns or introducing drier air before midweek, while the broader August–October outlook from the Observatory calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with traders weighting the latest model runs that show minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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