Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7 centers on 26–28°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical summer humidity and light winds. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima clustering around 27°C, while recent model runs indicate possible weak disturbances or increased cloud cover that could shave 1–2°C off the low. Higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given the absence of strong synoptic forcing or clear, calm nights that would allow greater cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7?
27°C 47%
26°C 26%
25°C 13%
28°C 13%
НОВЕ
$10,385 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,385 Обс.
Jul 7, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
13%
26°C
26%
27°C
47%
28°C
13%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
26°C 26%
25°C 13%
28°C 13%
НОВЕ
$10,385 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,385 Обс.
Jul 7, 2026
22°C or below
$221 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$121 Обс.
1%
24°C
$311 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$238 Обс.
13%
26°C
$189 Обс.
26%
27°C
$8,198 Обс.
47%
28°C
$106 Обс.
13%
29°C
$74 Обс.
5%
30°C
$221 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$193 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$517 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7 centers on 26–28°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical summer humidity and light winds. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima clustering around 27°C, while recent model runs indicate possible weak disturbances or increased cloud cover that could shave 1–2°C off the low. Higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given the absence of strong synoptic forcing or clear, calm nights that would allow greater cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,385Дата завершення
Jul 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7 centers on 26–28°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical summer humidity and light winds. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima clustering around 27°C, while recent model runs indicate possible weak disturbances or increased cloud cover that could shave 1–2°C off the low. Higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given the absence of strong synoptic forcing or clear, calm nights that would allow greater cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$10,385Дата завершення
Jul 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7 centers on 26–28°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical summer humidity and light winds. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima clustering around 27°C, while recent model runs indicate possible weak disturbances or increased cloud cover that could shave 1–2°C off the low. Higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given the absence of strong synoptic forcing or clear, calm nights that would allow greater cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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