Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 7 indicate a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 31°C and minimum temperatures of 18–19°C, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–19°C because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and urban heat retention can easily shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical July minima average 13–15°C, so the elevated baseline this week reflects persistent high pressure suppressing typical cool advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from the European Centre and UK Met Office will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on July 7?
Lowest temperature in London on July 7?
18°C 37%
19°C 26%
20°C 21%
17°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 7, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
11%
18°C
37%
19°C
23%
20°C
21%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 37%
19°C 26%
20°C 21%
17°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 7, 2026
14°C or below
$149 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$148 Обс.
1%
16°C
$73 Обс.
1%
17°C
$153 Обс.
11%
18°C
$1,289 Обс.
37%
19°C
$350 Обс.
23%
20°C
$338 Обс.
21%
21°C
$389 Обс.
5%
22°C
$631 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$339 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$554 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 7 indicate a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 31°C and minimum temperatures of 18–19°C, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–19°C because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and urban heat retention can easily shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical July minima average 13–15°C, so the elevated baseline this week reflects persistent high pressure suppressing typical cool advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from the European Centre and UK Met Office will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,410Дата завершення
Jul 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 7 indicate a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 31°C and minimum temperatures of 18–19°C, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–19°C because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and urban heat retention can easily shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical July minima average 13–15°C, so the elevated baseline this week reflects persistent high pressure suppressing typical cool advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from the European Centre and UK Met Office will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,410Дата завершення
Jul 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 7 indicate a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 31°C and minimum temperatures of 18–19°C, driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–19°C because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and urban heat retention can easily shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical July minima average 13–15°C, so the elevated baseline this week reflects persistent high pressure suppressing typical cool advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from the European Centre and UK Met Office will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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