Skip to main content
icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 29?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 29?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 29?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 29?

Jun 26

Jun 27

Jun 28

Jun 29

Jun 26

Jun 27

Jun 28

Jun 29

28°C 36%

27°C 34%

22°C or below 30%

26°C 22%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

28°C 36%

27°C 34%

22°C or below 30%

26°C 22%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

22°C or below

$32 Обс.

30%

23°C

$32 Обс.

1%

24°C

$32 Обс.

3%

25°C

$60 Обс.

<1%

26°C

$0 Обс.

22%

27°C

$0 Обс.

34%

28°C

$52 Обс.

36%

29°C

$0 Обс.

15%

30°C

$27 Обс.

3%

31°C

$32 Обс.

1%

32°C or higher

$32 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts indicate above-normal seasonal temperatures for June 2026, with nighttime radiative cooling limited by high humidity and frequent showers typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. This positions daily minimums near 27–28°C, the range capturing nearly 70% of current market-implied odds. Variable cloud cover and localized convective rainfall over the next 48 hours can enhance nocturnal cooling by 1–2°C or suppress it under clearer skies, creating the tight spread between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 26–27°C, while the current ENSO-neutral pattern and urban heat retention favor the warmer side of that baseline absent a stronger monsoon surge. Updated NWP runs and Hong Kong Observatory briefings on June 28 will refine land-breeze and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$298
Дата завершення
Jun 29, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts indicate above-normal seasonal temperatures for June 2026, with nighttime radiative cooling limited by high humidity and frequent showers typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. This positions daily minimums near 27–28°C, the range capturing nearly 70% of current market-implied odds. Variable cloud cover and localized convective rainfall over the next 48 hours can enhance nocturnal cooling by 1–2°C or suppress it under clearer skies, creating the tight spread between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 26–27°C, while the current ENSO-neutral pattern and urban heat retention favor the warmer side of that baseline absent a stronger monsoon surge. Updated NWP runs and Hong Kong Observatory briefings on June 28 will refine land-breeze and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$298
Дата завершення
Jun 29, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 29?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «28°C» з 36%, далі «27°C» з 34%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 29?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 27, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 29?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 29?» — «28°C» з 36%. Наступний — «27°C» з 34%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 29?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.