Current ensemble forecasts from major models show mild overnight conditions over London through July 31, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 16–17 °C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and light winds. Subtle differences between these leading outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any Atlantic moisture, which can shift the nocturnal minimum by 1 °C. Warmer-than-average July conditions have kept the 19 °C outcome in play, yet recent model runs have narrowed the distribution toward the lower teens. Updated Met Office and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on July 31?
Lowest temperature in London on July 31?
17°C 46%
16°C 36%
18°C 18%
15°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 31, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
36%
17°C
46%
18°C
18%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 36%
18°C 18%
15°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 31, 2026
14°C or below
$127 Обс.
1%
15°C
$87 Обс.
3%
16°C
$340 Обс.
36%
17°C
$1,193 Обс.
46%
18°C
$250 Обс.
18%
19°C
$56 Обс.
2%
20°C
$106 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$76 Обс.
1%
22°C
$65 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$65 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$65 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models show mild overnight conditions over London through July 31, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 16–17 °C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and light winds. Subtle differences between these leading outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any Atlantic moisture, which can shift the nocturnal minimum by 1 °C. Warmer-than-average July conditions have kept the 19 °C outcome in play, yet recent model runs have narrowed the distribution toward the lower teens. Updated Met Office and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,428Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models show mild overnight conditions over London through July 31, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 16–17 °C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and light winds. Subtle differences between these leading outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any Atlantic moisture, which can shift the nocturnal minimum by 1 °C. Warmer-than-average July conditions have kept the 19 °C outcome in play, yet recent model runs have narrowed the distribution toward the lower teens. Updated Met Office and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,428Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models show mild overnight conditions over London through July 31, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 16–17 °C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and light winds. Subtle differences between these leading outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any Atlantic moisture, which can shift the nocturnal minimum by 1 °C. Warmer-than-average July conditions have kept the 19 °C outcome in play, yet recent model runs have narrowed the distribution toward the lower teens. Updated Met Office and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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