A strong high-pressure system and southerly airflow have driven an exceptional heatwave across southern England, producing warm, humid nights that limit radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official Met Office guidance for 26 June projects a nighttime low near 21°C in London, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 34.5% and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C. Key variables include the exact timing of any weakening in the ridge, cloud-cover evolution that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only 48 hours away and ensemble guidance still showing modest variability, traders are pricing in a narrow but uncertain range centered on these unusually high June minima rather than typical climatological values near 12–14°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on June 26?
Lowest temperature in London on June 26?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$18,136 Обс.
$18,136 Обс.
Jun 26, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$18,136 Обс.
$18,136 Обс.
Jun 26, 2026
18°C or below
$901 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$891 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,233 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$3,418 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$3,057 Обс.
100%
23°C
$3,872 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,187 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$740 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$679 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong high-pressure system and southerly airflow have driven an exceptional heatwave across southern England, producing warm, humid nights that limit radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official Met Office guidance for 26 June projects a nighttime low near 21°C in London, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 34.5% and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C. Key variables include the exact timing of any weakening in the ridge, cloud-cover evolution that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only 48 hours away and ensemble guidance still showing modest variability, traders are pricing in a narrow but uncertain range centered on these unusually high June minima rather than typical climatological values near 12–14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,136Дата завершення
Jun 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong high-pressure system and southerly airflow have driven an exceptional heatwave across southern England, producing warm, humid nights that limit radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official Met Office guidance for 26 June projects a nighttime low near 21°C in London, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 34.5% and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C. Key variables include the exact timing of any weakening in the ridge, cloud-cover evolution that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only 48 hours away and ensemble guidance still showing modest variability, traders are pricing in a narrow but uncertain range centered on these unusually high June minima rather than typical climatological values near 12–14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$18,136Дата завершення
Jun 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
A strong high-pressure system and southerly airflow have driven an exceptional heatwave across southern England, producing warm, humid nights that limit radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official Met Office guidance for 26 June projects a nighttime low near 21°C in London, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 34.5% and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C. Key variables include the exact timing of any weakening in the ridge, cloud-cover evolution that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only 48 hours away and ensemble guidance still showing modest variability, traders are pricing in a narrow but uncertain range centered on these unusually high June minima rather than typical climatological values near 12–14°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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