Persistent warm air mass and elevated overnight humidity across South Florida are anchoring trader consensus around 78–81°F lows for Miami on August 20, with 80–81°F leading at 41% implied probability. NOAA and National Weather Service guidance show minimal nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies, consistent with mid-August records near 80°F minimums and AccuWeather’s seasonal outlook of 77–81°F lows. Absence of strong frontal passages or significant tropical moisture to enhance radiational cooling supports these odds, while any scattered convection could modestly lower readings toward the 78–79°F bin. Updated model runs and evening observations on August 19 will refine the final range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 20?
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
71°F or below
$650 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$10 Обс.
3%
74-75°F
$141 Обс.
2%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
10%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
28%
80-81°F
$24 Обс.
41%
82-83°F
$28 Обс.
21%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
6%
86-87°F
$10 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$660 Обс.
<1%
90°F or higher
$110 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air mass and elevated overnight humidity across South Florida are anchoring trader consensus around 78–81°F lows for Miami on August 20, with 80–81°F leading at 41% implied probability. NOAA and National Weather Service guidance show minimal nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies, consistent with mid-August records near 80°F minimums and AccuWeather’s seasonal outlook of 77–81°F lows. Absence of strong frontal passages or significant tropical moisture to enhance radiational cooling supports these odds, while any scattered convection could modestly lower readings toward the 78–79°F bin. Updated model runs and evening observations on August 19 will refine the final range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,633Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air mass and elevated overnight humidity across South Florida are anchoring trader consensus around 78–81°F lows for Miami on August 20, with 80–81°F leading at 41% implied probability. NOAA and National Weather Service guidance show minimal nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies, consistent with mid-August records near 80°F minimums and AccuWeather’s seasonal outlook of 77–81°F lows. Absence of strong frontal passages or significant tropical moisture to enhance radiational cooling supports these odds, while any scattered convection could modestly lower readings toward the 78–79°F bin. Updated model runs and evening observations on August 19 will refine the final range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,633Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm air mass and elevated overnight humidity across South Florida are anchoring trader consensus around 78–81°F lows for Miami on August 20, with 80–81°F leading at 41% implied probability. NOAA and National Weather Service guidance show minimal nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies, consistent with mid-August records near 80°F minimums and AccuWeather’s seasonal outlook of 77–81°F lows. Absence of strong frontal passages or significant tropical moisture to enhance radiational cooling supports these odds, while any scattered convection could modestly lower readings toward the 78–79°F bin. Updated model runs and evening observations on August 19 will refine the final range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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