Short-range forecast uncertainty around Miami's overnight low for July 15 centers on model spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical subtropical July conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensembles placing the minimum near 78–81°F. Sea-breeze circulation, variable Atlantic moisture, and potential nocturnal cloud cover or scattered showers can each alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees, keeping multiple temperature bins competitive. Historical July lows at Miami International Airport average about 77–78°F, providing context for the current market-implied clustering, while upcoming model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading used for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on July 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 15?
80-81°F 30%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 15, 2026
71°F or below
8%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 30%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 15, 2026
71°F or below
$32 Обс.
8%
72-73°F
$32 Обс.
13%
74-75°F
$21 Обс.
13%
76-77°F
$1 Обс.
16%
78-79°F
$1 Обс.
24%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
30%
82-83°F
$3 Обс.
14%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
14%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
14%
88-89°F
$10 Обс.
1%
90°F or higher
$10 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast uncertainty around Miami's overnight low for July 15 centers on model spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical subtropical July conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensembles placing the minimum near 78–81°F. Sea-breeze circulation, variable Atlantic moisture, and potential nocturnal cloud cover or scattered showers can each alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees, keeping multiple temperature bins competitive. Historical July lows at Miami International Airport average about 77–78°F, providing context for the current market-implied clustering, while upcoming model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$109Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast uncertainty around Miami's overnight low for July 15 centers on model spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical subtropical July conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensembles placing the minimum near 78–81°F. Sea-breeze circulation, variable Atlantic moisture, and potential nocturnal cloud cover or scattered showers can each alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees, keeping multiple temperature bins competitive. Historical July lows at Miami International Airport average about 77–78°F, providing context for the current market-implied clustering, while upcoming model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$109Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast uncertainty around Miami's overnight low for July 15 centers on model spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical subtropical July conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensembles placing the minimum near 78–81°F. Sea-breeze circulation, variable Atlantic moisture, and potential nocturnal cloud cover or scattered showers can each alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees, keeping multiple temperature bins competitive. Historical July lows at Miami International Airport average about 77–78°F, providing context for the current market-implied clustering, while upcoming model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading used for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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