Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on July 13?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 13?
80-81°F 4%
78-79°F 3.5%
76-77°F <1%
73°F or below <1%
$9,087 Обс.
$9,087 Обс.
Jul 13, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
72%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 4%
78-79°F 3.5%
76-77°F <1%
73°F or below <1%
$9,087 Обс.
$9,087 Обс.
Jul 13, 2026
73°F or below
$1,420 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,917 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$794 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$739 Обс.
4%
80-81°F
$432 Обс.
4%
82-83°F
$1,063 Обс.
72%
84-85°F
$995 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$637 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$352 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$397 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$342 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,087Дата завершення
Jul 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,087Дата завершення
Jul 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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