Recent forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on July 14 likely reaching 35–36°C, aligning with trader consensus on those bins amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. High solar radiation under the Western Pacific subtropical high, combined with elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 31–33°C seasonal average. Afternoon convection or isolated thunderstorms could cap readings near 35°C, while clearer skies would favor the upper end. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from variable steering flows and moisture, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 14?
36°C 46.8%
37°C 24.8%
35°C 19%
38°C 7.5%
НОВЕ
$37,727 Обс.
НОВЕ
$37,727 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
19%
36°C
47%
37°C
25%
38°C
8%
39°C or higher
2%
36°C 46.8%
37°C 24.8%
35°C 19%
38°C 7.5%
НОВЕ
$37,727 Обс.
НОВЕ
$37,727 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
29°C or below
$240 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$274 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$653 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$2,386 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$2,777 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$7,005 Обс.
2%
35°C
$3,325 Обс.
19%
36°C
$4,508 Обс.
47%
37°C
$4,680 Обс.
25%
38°C
$3,605 Обс.
8%
39°C or higher
$8,275 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on July 14 likely reaching 35–36°C, aligning with trader consensus on those bins amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. High solar radiation under the Western Pacific subtropical high, combined with elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 31–33°C seasonal average. Afternoon convection or isolated thunderstorms could cap readings near 35°C, while clearer skies would favor the upper end. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from variable steering flows and moisture, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,727Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on July 14 likely reaching 35–36°C, aligning with trader consensus on those bins amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. High solar radiation under the Western Pacific subtropical high, combined with elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 31–33°C seasonal average. Afternoon convection or isolated thunderstorms could cap readings near 35°C, while clearer skies would favor the upper end. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from variable steering flows and moisture, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$37,727Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on July 14 likely reaching 35–36°C, aligning with trader consensus on those bins amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. High solar radiation under the Western Pacific subtropical high, combined with elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 31–33°C seasonal average. Afternoon convection or isolated thunderstorms could cap readings near 35°C, while clearer skies would favor the upper end. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from variable steering flows and moisture, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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