Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on July 14?
Highest temperature in London on July 14?
29°C 46%
30°C 30%
28°C 18%
31°C 3.5%
НОВЕ
$56,517 Обс.
НОВЕ
$56,517 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
18%
29°C
46%
30°C
30%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 46%
30°C 30%
28°C 18%
31°C 3.5%
НОВЕ
$56,517 Обс.
НОВЕ
$56,517 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
24°C or below
$2,813 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$2,784 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$5,194 Обс.
1%
27°C
$12,179 Обс.
3%
28°C
$7,819 Обс.
18%
29°C
$6,162 Обс.
46%
30°C
$4,779 Обс.
30%
31°C
$4,401 Обс.
3%
32°C
$4,577 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$2,278 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$3,535 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$56,517Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$56,517Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання