Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 30–32°C on July 14 amid active East Asian summer monsoon conditions, with southwesterly flow delivering warm, humid air masses and scattered convective showers that can modulate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical July averages hover around 32°C, but short-term model runs show sensitivity to timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture, spreading trader-implied odds across 28–31°C. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm potential from the South China Sea monsoon branch and any shifts in subtropical ridge positioning, with updated NWP guidance expected to refine the distribution before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 14?
29°C 31%
30°C 20%
28°C 18%
31°C 15%
НОВЕ
$37,153 Обс.
НОВЕ
$37,153 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
18%
29°C
31%
30°C
20%
31°C
15%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 31%
30°C 20%
28°C 18%
31°C 15%
НОВЕ
$37,153 Обс.
НОВЕ
$37,153 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
24°C or below
$301 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$1,055 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$6,408 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$8,280 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$3,577 Обс.
18%
29°C
$2,532 Обс.
31%
30°C
$3,353 Обс.
20%
31°C
$1,823 Обс.
15%
32°C
$3,353 Обс.
3%
33°C
$2,013 Обс.
4%
34°C or higher
$4,947 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 30–32°C on July 14 amid active East Asian summer monsoon conditions, with southwesterly flow delivering warm, humid air masses and scattered convective showers that can modulate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical July averages hover around 32°C, but short-term model runs show sensitivity to timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture, spreading trader-implied odds across 28–31°C. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm potential from the South China Sea monsoon branch and any shifts in subtropical ridge positioning, with updated NWP guidance expected to refine the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,153Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 30–32°C on July 14 amid active East Asian summer monsoon conditions, with southwesterly flow delivering warm, humid air masses and scattered convective showers that can modulate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical July averages hover around 32°C, but short-term model runs show sensitivity to timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture, spreading trader-implied odds across 28–31°C. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm potential from the South China Sea monsoon branch and any shifts in subtropical ridge positioning, with updated NWP guidance expected to refine the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$37,153Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 30–32°C on July 14 amid active East Asian summer monsoon conditions, with southwesterly flow delivering warm, humid air masses and scattered convective showers that can modulate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical July averages hover around 32°C, but short-term model runs show sensitivity to timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture, spreading trader-implied odds across 28–31°C. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm potential from the South China Sea monsoon branch and any shifts in subtropical ridge positioning, with updated NWP guidance expected to refine the distribution before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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