Persistent southwest flow and a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern U.S. are sustaining a heat wave, keeping overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s°F for New York City on July 15. National Weather Service guidance shows Tuesday night and Wednesday night minima near 76–79°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, limiting radiational cooling. Recent model runs from NOAA exhibit tight consensus around these values, with only modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical July climatology places average lows near 71°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly that traders have priced into the tightly bunched 78–83°F outcomes. Updated NWS and NDFD forecasts expected later today remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on July 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 15?
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 22%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 15, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
17%
88°F or higher
15%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 22%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 15, 2026
69°F or below
$10 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$10 Обс.
8%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
20%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
20%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
20%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
21%
80-81°F
$3 Обс.
21%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
22%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
20%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
17%
88°F or higher
$10 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest flow and a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern U.S. are sustaining a heat wave, keeping overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s°F for New York City on July 15. National Weather Service guidance shows Tuesday night and Wednesday night minima near 76–79°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, limiting radiational cooling. Recent model runs from NOAA exhibit tight consensus around these values, with only modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical July climatology places average lows near 71°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly that traders have priced into the tightly bunched 78–83°F outcomes. Updated NWS and NDFD forecasts expected later today remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$33Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest flow and a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern U.S. are sustaining a heat wave, keeping overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s°F for New York City on July 15. National Weather Service guidance shows Tuesday night and Wednesday night minima near 76–79°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, limiting radiational cooling. Recent model runs from NOAA exhibit tight consensus around these values, with only modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical July climatology places average lows near 71°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly that traders have priced into the tightly bunched 78–83°F outcomes. Updated NWS and NDFD forecasts expected later today remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$33Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest flow and a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern U.S. are sustaining a heat wave, keeping overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s°F for New York City on July 15. National Weather Service guidance shows Tuesday night and Wednesday night minima near 76–79°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, limiting radiational cooling. Recent model runs from NOAA exhibit tight consensus around these values, with only modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical July climatology places average lows near 71°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly that traders have priced into the tightly bunched 78–83°F outcomes. Updated NWS and NDFD forecasts expected later today remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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