Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend across the Northeast, with a building ridge of high pressure driving southerly flow and limiting nocturnal cooling for New York City on July 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 60s to mid-70s Fahrenheit under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with trader consensus favoring 70–79°F ranges that together exceed 90% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this trajectory, though any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge minimums slightly lower. Historical July norms for Central Park lows near 70°F provide context, while the absence of frontal passages reinforces elevated readings ahead of the next forecast update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on July 14?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 14?
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 24%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 5.3%
НОВЕ
$10,867 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,867 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
53%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 24%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 5.3%
НОВЕ
$10,867 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,867 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
61°F or below
$359 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$613 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$940 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,247 Обс.
1%
68-69°F
$3,529 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$1,479 Обс.
14%
72-73°F
$331 Обс.
53%
74-75°F
$427 Обс.
31%
76-77°F
$402 Обс.
5%
78-79°F
$893 Обс.
1%
80°F or higher
$648 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend across the Northeast, with a building ridge of high pressure driving southerly flow and limiting nocturnal cooling for New York City on July 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 60s to mid-70s Fahrenheit under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with trader consensus favoring 70–79°F ranges that together exceed 90% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this trajectory, though any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge minimums slightly lower. Historical July norms for Central Park lows near 70°F provide context, while the absence of frontal passages reinforces elevated readings ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 12, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$10,867Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 8:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend across the Northeast, with a building ridge of high pressure driving southerly flow and limiting nocturnal cooling for New York City on July 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 60s to mid-70s Fahrenheit under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with trader consensus favoring 70–79°F ranges that together exceed 90% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this trajectory, though any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge minimums slightly lower. Historical July norms for Central Park lows near 70°F provide context, while the absence of frontal passages reinforces elevated readings ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,867Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 8:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend across the Northeast, with a building ridge of high pressure driving southerly flow and limiting nocturnal cooling for New York City on July 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 60s to mid-70s Fahrenheit under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with trader consensus favoring 70–79°F ranges that together exceed 90% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this trajectory, though any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge minimums slightly lower. Historical July norms for Central Park lows near 70°F provide context, while the absence of frontal passages reinforces elevated readings ahead of the next forecast update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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