Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on June 21, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities on 64–69°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average lows hover near 68°F and cold-air intrusions are rare. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point advection, or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the NWS Climatological Report's official minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on June 21?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 21?
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 35%
64-65°F 20%
70-71°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 21, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
2%
76°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 35%
64-65°F 20%
70-71°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 21, 2026
57°F or below
$42 Обс.
<1%
58-59°F
$132 Обс.
1%
60-61°F
$100 Обс.
1%
62-63°F
$57 Обс.
6%
64-65°F
$13 Обс.
20%
66-67°F
$21 Обс.
36%
68-69°F
$22 Обс.
35%
70-71°F
$24 Обс.
11%
72-73°F
$44 Обс.
7%
74-75°F
$52 Обс.
2%
76°F or higher
$48 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on June 21, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities on 64–69°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average lows hover near 68°F and cold-air intrusions are rare. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point advection, or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the NWS Climatological Report's official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$554Дата завершення
Jun 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on June 21, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities on 64–69°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average lows hover near 68°F and cold-air intrusions are rare. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point advection, or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the NWS Climatological Report's official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$554Дата завершення
Jun 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on June 21, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities on 64–69°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average lows hover near 68°F and cold-air intrusions are rare. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point advection, or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the NWS Climatological Report's official minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання