Current numerical weather prediction consensus from MetService and global models positions Wellington’s June 20 maximum near 16–17 °C, driving the market’s tight 42 % / 34.5 % split between those outcomes. This reflects a mild late-autumn regime with reduced radiational cooling under light northerly flow, modestly above the region’s June climatological mean of 12–14 °C. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns a 45 % probability of near-average temperatures, consistent with the low odds on extremes below 15 °C or above 18 °C. Ensemble spread remains the key uncertainty; fresh model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly afternoon boundary-layer and wind forecasts, will determine whether the peak settles at 16 °C or edges to 17 °C before official resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 20?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 20?
17°C 43%
16°C 35%
18°C 15%
15°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 20, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
10%
16°C
35%
17°C
43%
18°C
15%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 43%
16°C 35%
18°C 15%
15°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 20, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$0 Обс.
2%
14°C
$73 Обс.
4%
15°C
$0 Обс.
10%
16°C
$42 Обс.
35%
17°C
$114 Обс.
43%
18°C
$94 Обс.
15%
19°C
$0 Обс.
3%
20°C
$0 Обс.
1%
21°C or higher
$116 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from MetService and global models positions Wellington’s June 20 maximum near 16–17 °C, driving the market’s tight 42 % / 34.5 % split between those outcomes. This reflects a mild late-autumn regime with reduced radiational cooling under light northerly flow, modestly above the region’s June climatological mean of 12–14 °C. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns a 45 % probability of near-average temperatures, consistent with the low odds on extremes below 15 °C or above 18 °C. Ensemble spread remains the key uncertainty; fresh model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly afternoon boundary-layer and wind forecasts, will determine whether the peak settles at 16 °C or edges to 17 °C before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$435Дата завершення
Jun 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from MetService and global models positions Wellington’s June 20 maximum near 16–17 °C, driving the market’s tight 42 % / 34.5 % split between those outcomes. This reflects a mild late-autumn regime with reduced radiational cooling under light northerly flow, modestly above the region’s June climatological mean of 12–14 °C. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns a 45 % probability of near-average temperatures, consistent with the low odds on extremes below 15 °C or above 18 °C. Ensemble spread remains the key uncertainty; fresh model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly afternoon boundary-layer and wind forecasts, will determine whether the peak settles at 16 °C or edges to 17 °C before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$435Дата завершення
Jun 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction consensus from MetService and global models positions Wellington’s June 20 maximum near 16–17 °C, driving the market’s tight 42 % / 34.5 % split between those outcomes. This reflects a mild late-autumn regime with reduced radiational cooling under light northerly flow, modestly above the region’s June climatological mean of 12–14 °C. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns a 45 % probability of near-average temperatures, consistent with the low odds on extremes below 15 °C or above 18 °C. Ensemble spread remains the key uncertainty; fresh model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly afternoon boundary-layer and wind forecasts, will determine whether the peak settles at 16 °C or edges to 17 °C before official resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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