Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs project a 28°C daytime maximum in London on June 18, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting sunny spells and light winds across southeast England after cooler early-month conditions. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28°C (37.5% implied probability), followed by 27°C or 29°C outcomes that reflect typical forecast spread from variables like boundary-layer mixing and any late-afternoon cloud. June climatology shows average highs near 20°C, but the current setup supports readings several degrees above normal without reaching heatwave thresholds. Updated model guidance and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on June 18?
Highest temperature in London on June 18?
28°C 38%
27°C 26%
29°C 17%
26°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
14%
27°C
26%
28°C
38%
29°C
17%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
27°C 26%
29°C 17%
26°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
22°C or below
$368 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$199 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$249 Обс.
1%
25°C
$416 Обс.
6%
26°C
$266 Обс.
14%
27°C
$401 Обс.
26%
28°C
$629 Обс.
38%
29°C
$429 Обс.
17%
30°C
$210 Обс.
4%
31°C
$369 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$419 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs project a 28°C daytime maximum in London on June 18, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting sunny spells and light winds across southeast England after cooler early-month conditions. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28°C (37.5% implied probability), followed by 27°C or 29°C outcomes that reflect typical forecast spread from variables like boundary-layer mixing and any late-afternoon cloud. June climatology shows average highs near 20°C, but the current setup supports readings several degrees above normal without reaching heatwave thresholds. Updated model guidance and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,927Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs project a 28°C daytime maximum in London on June 18, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting sunny spells and light winds across southeast England after cooler early-month conditions. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28°C (37.5% implied probability), followed by 27°C or 29°C outcomes that reflect typical forecast spread from variables like boundary-layer mixing and any late-afternoon cloud. June climatology shows average highs near 20°C, but the current setup supports readings several degrees above normal without reaching heatwave thresholds. Updated model guidance and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,927Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs project a 28°C daytime maximum in London on June 18, driven by a ridge of high pressure promoting sunny spells and light winds across southeast England after cooler early-month conditions. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28°C (37.5% implied probability), followed by 27°C or 29°C outcomes that reflect typical forecast spread from variables like boundary-layer mixing and any late-afternoon cloud. June climatology shows average highs near 20°C, but the current setup supports readings several degrees above normal without reaching heatwave thresholds. Updated model guidance and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання