Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models point to a daily high near 28–29°C in Shenzhen on June 16, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon with widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and moderate southerly winds. These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling, keeping maxima close to climatological norms for mid-June rather than allowing spikes above 30°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 28°C and 29°C reflects model consensus on modest day-to-day variability driven by the timing and intensity of convective rainfall, with any breaks in cloud allowing brief warming toward 30°C while persistent showers would cap readings nearer 27°C. Updated runs from major numerical weather prediction systems over the next 48 hours will refine this range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
28°C 32%
29°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
14%
28°C
32%
29°C
30%
30°C
15%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 32%
29°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
$17 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$13 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$96 Обс.
1%
26°C
$3 Обс.
6%
27°C
$73 Обс.
14%
28°C
$65 Обс.
32%
29°C
$3 Обс.
30%
30°C
$25 Обс.
15%
31°C
$5 Обс.
7%
32°C
$19 Обс.
2%
33°C or higher
$110 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models point to a daily high near 28–29°C in Shenzhen on June 16, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon with widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and moderate southerly winds. These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling, keeping maxima close to climatological norms for mid-June rather than allowing spikes above 30°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 28°C and 29°C reflects model consensus on modest day-to-day variability driven by the timing and intensity of convective rainfall, with any breaks in cloud allowing brief warming toward 30°C while persistent showers would cap readings nearer 27°C. Updated runs from major numerical weather prediction systems over the next 48 hours will refine this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$366Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models point to a daily high near 28–29°C in Shenzhen on June 16, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon with widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and moderate southerly winds. These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling, keeping maxima close to climatological norms for mid-June rather than allowing spikes above 30°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 28°C and 29°C reflects model consensus on modest day-to-day variability driven by the timing and intensity of convective rainfall, with any breaks in cloud allowing brief warming toward 30°C while persistent showers would cap readings nearer 27°C. Updated runs from major numerical weather prediction systems over the next 48 hours will refine this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$366Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models point to a daily high near 28–29°C in Shenzhen on June 16, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon with widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and moderate southerly winds. These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling, keeping maxima close to climatological norms for mid-June rather than allowing spikes above 30°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 28°C and 29°C reflects model consensus on modest day-to-day variability driven by the timing and intensity of convective rainfall, with any breaks in cloud allowing brief warming toward 30°C while persistent showers would cap readings nearer 27°C. Updated runs from major numerical weather prediction systems over the next 48 hours will refine this range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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