Ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models currently favor overnight lows of 19–20°C in Seoul on June 16, driven by mild southwesterly flow and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight. Clearer skies or reduced cloud cover could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 18°C, while increased moisture or lingering daytime heating supports the 20°C threshold. Historical June climatology shows typical morning lows near 17–19°C, providing context for the tight market spread between these outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next KMA short-range updates and ensemble runs for any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation that could alter cooling rates before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
19°C 41%
20°C 40%
18°C 10%
21°C 6%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
10%
19°C
41%
20°C
40%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 41%
20°C 40%
18°C 10%
21°C 6%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
10%
19°C
41%
20°C
40%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models currently favor overnight lows of 19–20°C in Seoul on June 16, driven by mild southwesterly flow and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight. Clearer skies or reduced cloud cover could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 18°C, while increased moisture or lingering daytime heating supports the 20°C threshold. Historical June climatology shows typical morning lows near 17–19°C, providing context for the tight market spread between these outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next KMA short-range updates and ensemble runs for any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation that could alter cooling rates before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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