Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high of 26°C for Seoul on June 14 under mostly cloudy to clear conditions with light winds, aligning closely with seasonal early-summer norms of 19–28°C and supporting the market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for that exact threshold. Model consensus and current observations, including morning readings near 19–21°C, reinforce this positioning with limited upward potential from typical June humidity and cloud cover. Outliers such as 28°C or higher remain possible only if unexpected solar heating or forecast revisions occur before the daily maximum is recorded, though such shifts appear improbable given the tight alignment of available data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on June 14?
26°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
19°C or below <1%
$227,889 Обс.
$227,889 Обс.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
19°C or below <1%
$227,889 Обс.
$227,889 Обс.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high of 26°C for Seoul on June 14 under mostly cloudy to clear conditions with light winds, aligning closely with seasonal early-summer norms of 19–28°C and supporting the market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for that exact threshold. Model consensus and current observations, including morning readings near 19–21°C, reinforce this positioning with limited upward potential from typical June humidity and cloud cover. Outliers such as 28°C or higher remain possible only if unexpected solar heating or forecast revisions occur before the daily maximum is recorded, though such shifts appear improbable given the tight alignment of available data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання