Recent observational data from Beijing surface stations and updated model runs have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. Light easterly flow, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing following overnight showers have limited daytime heating below earlier ensemble projections of 29–30°C, aligning with climatological June averages near 30°C while reflecting today's specific synoptic setup. The China Meteorological Administration's official verification will resolve the market, and traders' real-capital consensus incorporates this evidence with high confidence. Only a late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on June 14?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 14?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$120,246 Обс.
$120,246 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$120,246 Обс.
$120,246 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
24°C or below
$3,164 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$4,175 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$20,018 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$23,451 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$17,409 Обс.
100%
29°C
$13,970 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$15,027 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$10,394 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$6,463 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$3,371 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$2,842 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Beijing surface stations and updated model runs have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. Light easterly flow, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing following overnight showers have limited daytime heating below earlier ensemble projections of 29–30°C, aligning with climatological June averages near 30°C while reflecting today's specific synoptic setup. The China Meteorological Administration's official verification will resolve the market, and traders' real-capital consensus incorporates this evidence with high confidence. Only a late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$120,246Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Beijing surface stations and updated model runs have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. Light easterly flow, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing following overnight showers have limited daytime heating below earlier ensemble projections of 29–30°C, aligning with climatological June averages near 30°C while reflecting today's specific synoptic setup. The China Meteorological Administration's official verification will resolve the market, and traders' real-capital consensus incorporates this evidence with high confidence. Only a late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$120,246Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from Beijing surface stations and updated model runs have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. Light easterly flow, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing following overnight showers have limited daytime heating below earlier ensemble projections of 29–30°C, aligning with climatological June averages near 30°C while reflecting today's specific synoptic setup. The China Meteorological Administration's official verification will resolve the market, and traders' real-capital consensus incorporates this evidence with high confidence. Only a late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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