Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has established a warm airmass across northern France, with daytime maxima near 30°C limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows several degrees above June climatology (typically 12–15°C at Paris stations). Light winds and mostly clear skies favor some boundary-layer cooling, yet the urban heat island effect at official measurement sites (e.g., Paris-Montsouris) and model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles keep projected minima clustered near 19–20°C. Narrow ensemble spread two days out explains the near-even split between those outcomes, with any late adjustments in cloud cover, wind speed, or steering flow capable of shifting the recorded low by 1°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 16?
19°C 31%
20°C 20%
18°C 11%
17°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
16°C or below
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
11%
19°C
31%
20°C
25%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 31%
20°C 20%
18°C 11%
17°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
16°C or below
$76 Обс.
5%
17°C
$33 Обс.
11%
18°C
$104 Обс.
11%
19°C
$30 Обс.
31%
20°C
$25 Обс.
25%
21°C
$54 Обс.
3%
22°C
$51 Обс.
1%
23°C
$85 Обс.
1%
24°C
$174 Обс.
1%
25°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$308 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has established a warm airmass across northern France, with daytime maxima near 30°C limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows several degrees above June climatology (typically 12–15°C at Paris stations). Light winds and mostly clear skies favor some boundary-layer cooling, yet the urban heat island effect at official measurement sites (e.g., Paris-Montsouris) and model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles keep projected minima clustered near 19–20°C. Narrow ensemble spread two days out explains the near-even split between those outcomes, with any late adjustments in cloud cover, wind speed, or steering flow capable of shifting the recorded low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$977Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has established a warm airmass across northern France, with daytime maxima near 30°C limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows several degrees above June climatology (typically 12–15°C at Paris stations). Light winds and mostly clear skies favor some boundary-layer cooling, yet the urban heat island effect at official measurement sites (e.g., Paris-Montsouris) and model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles keep projected minima clustered near 19–20°C. Narrow ensemble spread two days out explains the near-even split between those outcomes, with any late adjustments in cloud cover, wind speed, or steering flow capable of shifting the recorded low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$977Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has established a warm airmass across northern France, with daytime maxima near 30°C limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows several degrees above June climatology (typically 12–15°C at Paris stations). Light winds and mostly clear skies favor some boundary-layer cooling, yet the urban heat island effect at official measurement sites (e.g., Paris-Montsouris) and model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles keep projected minima clustered near 19–20°C. Narrow ensemble spread two days out explains the near-even split between those outcomes, with any late adjustments in cloud cover, wind speed, or steering flow capable of shifting the recorded low by 1°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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