High-pressure systems over western Europe have promoted clear skies and light winds across Paris, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs. Daytime maxima near 23–25°C allow efficient heat loss overnight, with the precise low depending on boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection. Ensemble spreads assign roughly equal weight to 12°C versus 13°C outcomes, aligning with typical June climatology of 11–16°C minima. Traders therefore concentrate probability on these adjacent bins, viewing larger deviations as unlikely without a last-minute frontal passage or unexpected moisture surge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
12°C 28%
13°C 22%
14°C 14%
11°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
28%
13°C
30%
14°C
14%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 28%
13°C 22%
14°C 14%
11°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
$8 Обс.
2%
11°C
$51 Обс.
13%
12°C
$31 Обс.
28%
13°C
$58 Обс.
30%
14°C
$25 Обс.
14%
15°C
$28 Обс.
5%
16°C
$276 Обс.
1%
17°C
$556 Обс.
1%
18°C
$201 Обс.
1%
19°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$32 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High-pressure systems over western Europe have promoted clear skies and light winds across Paris, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs. Daytime maxima near 23–25°C allow efficient heat loss overnight, with the precise low depending on boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection. Ensemble spreads assign roughly equal weight to 12°C versus 13°C outcomes, aligning with typical June climatology of 11–16°C minima. Traders therefore concentrate probability on these adjacent bins, viewing larger deviations as unlikely without a last-minute frontal passage or unexpected moisture surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,297Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High-pressure systems over western Europe have promoted clear skies and light winds across Paris, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs. Daytime maxima near 23–25°C allow efficient heat loss overnight, with the precise low depending on boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection. Ensemble spreads assign roughly equal weight to 12°C versus 13°C outcomes, aligning with typical June climatology of 11–16°C minima. Traders therefore concentrate probability on these adjacent bins, viewing larger deviations as unlikely without a last-minute frontal passage or unexpected moisture surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,297Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High-pressure systems over western Europe have promoted clear skies and light winds across Paris, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs. Daytime maxima near 23–25°C allow efficient heat loss overnight, with the precise low depending on boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection. Ensemble spreads assign roughly equal weight to 12°C versus 13°C outcomes, aligning with typical June climatology of 11–16°C minima. Traders therefore concentrate probability on these adjacent bins, viewing larger deviations as unlikely without a last-minute frontal passage or unexpected moisture surge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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