Recent Météo-France and ensemble model consensus positions 26°C as the most probable maximum for Paris on June 14, supported by building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that promotes strong insolation with only modest boundary-layer mixing. These conditions align closely with the market’s 54% implied probability for 26°C and 39.5% for 25°C, while keeping 27°C at just 6%. Minor model spread around peak heating and local urban effects maintains a narrow window between 25–27°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified forecast guidance and typical June climatology near 24°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on June 14?
26°C 54%
25°C 41%
27°C 6.0%
24°C 2.9%
$49,770 Обс.
$49,770 Обс.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
41%
26°C
54%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
25°C 41%
27°C 6.0%
24°C 2.9%
$49,770 Обс.
$49,770 Обс.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
41%
26°C
54%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model consensus positions 26°C as the most probable maximum for Paris on June 14, supported by building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that promotes strong insolation with only modest boundary-layer mixing. These conditions align closely with the market’s 54% implied probability for 26°C and 39.5% for 25°C, while keeping 27°C at just 6%. Minor model spread around peak heating and local urban effects maintains a narrow window between 25–27°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified forecast guidance and typical June climatology near 24°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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