Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on June 14 under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southerly flow that limits both advection of warmer air and convective cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach approximately 29–30°C amid rising solar insolation and typical humidity levels. The 99.3% market-implied probability for 29°C reflects trader consensus on these model outputs and current observational trends. A sudden increase in cloud cover, unexpected rainfall, or stronger cold-air advection could still suppress the peak below this level, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
29°C 93.8%
30°C 6.1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$55,570 Обс.
$55,570 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
94%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 93.8%
30°C 6.1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$55,570 Обс.
$55,570 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
27°C or below
$6,577 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$12,188 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$8,183 Обс.
94%
30°C
$5,891 Обс.
6%
31°C
$5,476 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$4,513 Обс.
1%
33°C
$6,481 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$2,917 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$1,085 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$2,399 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,564 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on June 14 under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southerly flow that limits both advection of warmer air and convective cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach approximately 29–30°C amid rising solar insolation and typical humidity levels. The 99.3% market-implied probability for 29°C reflects trader consensus on these model outputs and current observational trends. A sudden increase in cloud cover, unexpected rainfall, or stronger cold-air advection could still suppress the peak below this level, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$55,570Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on June 14 under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southerly flow that limits both advection of warmer air and convective cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach approximately 29–30°C amid rising solar insolation and typical humidity levels. The 99.3% market-implied probability for 29°C reflects trader consensus on these model outputs and current observational trends. A sudden increase in cloud cover, unexpected rainfall, or stronger cold-air advection could still suppress the peak below this level, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$55,570Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on June 14 under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southerly flow that limits both advection of warmer air and convective cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach approximately 29–30°C amid rising solar insolation and typical humidity levels. The 99.3% market-implied probability for 29°C reflects trader consensus on these model outputs and current observational trends. A sudden increase in cloud cover, unexpected rainfall, or stronger cold-air advection could still suppress the peak below this level, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання