Recent northerly flow and MetService New Zealand model guidance have sustained above-average conditions for Wellington on June 14, with afternoon temperatures reaching the 17°C threshold that now commands full market-implied odds. June climatology places typical maxima near 13°C, so this setup reflects modest warm advection consistent with observed station readings and the absence of significant cooling showers or wind shifts. Official resolution depends on MetService’s verified maximum, leaving limited room for revision unless late-day observations or data adjustments alter the peak. Updated forecast runs or briefings remain the main near-term catalysts that could still influence any residual positioning before settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 14?
17°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$41,144 Обс.
$41,144 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$41,144 Обс.
$41,144 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
11°C or below
$251 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$379 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$490 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$770 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$7,644 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$4,390 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$8,974 Обс.
100%
18°C
$10,154 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$5,574 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,159 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$359 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly flow and MetService New Zealand model guidance have sustained above-average conditions for Wellington on June 14, with afternoon temperatures reaching the 17°C threshold that now commands full market-implied odds. June climatology places typical maxima near 13°C, so this setup reflects modest warm advection consistent with observed station readings and the absence of significant cooling showers or wind shifts. Official resolution depends on MetService’s verified maximum, leaving limited room for revision unless late-day observations or data adjustments alter the peak. Updated forecast runs or briefings remain the main near-term catalysts that could still influence any residual positioning before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$41,144Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly flow and MetService New Zealand model guidance have sustained above-average conditions for Wellington on June 14, with afternoon temperatures reaching the 17°C threshold that now commands full market-implied odds. June climatology places typical maxima near 13°C, so this setup reflects modest warm advection consistent with observed station readings and the absence of significant cooling showers or wind shifts. Official resolution depends on MetService’s verified maximum, leaving limited room for revision unless late-day observations or data adjustments alter the peak. Updated forecast runs or briefings remain the main near-term catalysts that could still influence any residual positioning before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$41,144Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly flow and MetService New Zealand model guidance have sustained above-average conditions for Wellington on June 14, with afternoon temperatures reaching the 17°C threshold that now commands full market-implied odds. June climatology places typical maxima near 13°C, so this setup reflects modest warm advection consistent with observed station readings and the absence of significant cooling showers or wind shifts. Official resolution depends on MetService’s verified maximum, leaving limited room for revision unless late-day observations or data adjustments alter the peak. Updated forecast runs or briefings remain the main near-term catalysts that could still influence any residual positioning before settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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