Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Wuhan's June 16 high centering on 32–33°C amid strengthening subtropical high pressure and the onset of the meiyu (plum rain) season. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible scattered showers or thunderstorms introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, with dew points near 22–24°C limiting diurnal range through evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads and historical analogs for mid-June support this narrow band, as slight differences in convective timing or cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Market-implied odds near 29% for 32°C and 28.5% for 33°C reflect traders weighting these meteorological variables against official station data resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 16?
33°C 29%
32°C 28%
31°C 14%
34°C 8.3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
28%
33°C
29%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 29%
32°C 28%
31°C 14%
34°C 8.3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
$116 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$22 Обс.
3%
30°C
$3 Обс.
5%
31°C
$70 Обс.
14%
32°C
$43 Обс.
28%
33°C
$177 Обс.
29%
34°C
$0 Обс.
8%
35°C
$0 Обс.
3%
36°C
$30 Обс.
1%
37°C or higher
$31 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Wuhan's June 16 high centering on 32–33°C amid strengthening subtropical high pressure and the onset of the meiyu (plum rain) season. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible scattered showers or thunderstorms introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, with dew points near 22–24°C limiting diurnal range through evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads and historical analogs for mid-June support this narrow band, as slight differences in convective timing or cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Market-implied odds near 29% for 32°C and 28.5% for 33°C reflect traders weighting these meteorological variables against official station data resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$412Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Wuhan's June 16 high centering on 32–33°C amid strengthening subtropical high pressure and the onset of the meiyu (plum rain) season. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible scattered showers or thunderstorms introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, with dew points near 22–24°C limiting diurnal range through evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads and historical analogs for mid-June support this narrow band, as slight differences in convective timing or cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Market-implied odds near 29% for 32°C and 28.5% for 33°C reflect traders weighting these meteorological variables against official station data resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$412Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Wuhan's June 16 high centering on 32–33°C amid strengthening subtropical high pressure and the onset of the meiyu (plum rain) season. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible scattered showers or thunderstorms introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, with dew points near 22–24°C limiting diurnal range through evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads and historical analogs for mid-June support this narrow band, as slight differences in convective timing or cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Market-implied odds near 29% for 32°C and 28.5% for 33°C reflect traders weighting these meteorological variables against official station data resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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