Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a low-pressure trough and monsoon influence will bring heavy showers and squally thunderstorms to Hong Kong on June 14, limiting the daily maximum to the 26–30°C range under extensive cloud cover and high humidity. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall due to long-term warming trends, yet the specific synoptic pattern today favors the 29°C and 30°C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Model consensus and climatological analogs support trader emphasis on this narrow band, as persistent rain makes extremes above 31°C unlikely while brief clear spells could reach 30°C. Updated HKO briefings and radar trends through the afternoon represent the next key data points that could shift resolution probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
29°C 59%
30°C 36%
31°C 4.1%
32°C <1%
$135,639 Обс.
$135,639 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
59%
30°C
36%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 59%
30°C 36%
31°C 4.1%
32°C <1%
$135,639 Обс.
$135,639 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
23°C or below
$618 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$603 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$1,398 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$8,160 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$30,871 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$29,012 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$23,947 Обс.
59%
30°C
$11,847 Обс.
36%
31°C
$11,326 Обс.
4%
32°C
$11,091 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$7,690 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a low-pressure trough and monsoon influence will bring heavy showers and squally thunderstorms to Hong Kong on June 14, limiting the daily maximum to the 26–30°C range under extensive cloud cover and high humidity. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall due to long-term warming trends, yet the specific synoptic pattern today favors the 29°C and 30°C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Model consensus and climatological analogs support trader emphasis on this narrow band, as persistent rain makes extremes above 31°C unlikely while brief clear spells could reach 30°C. Updated HKO briefings and radar trends through the afternoon represent the next key data points that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$135,639Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a low-pressure trough and monsoon influence will bring heavy showers and squally thunderstorms to Hong Kong on June 14, limiting the daily maximum to the 26–30°C range under extensive cloud cover and high humidity. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall due to long-term warming trends, yet the specific synoptic pattern today favors the 29°C and 30°C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Model consensus and climatological analogs support trader emphasis on this narrow band, as persistent rain makes extremes above 31°C unlikely while brief clear spells could reach 30°C. Updated HKO briefings and radar trends through the afternoon represent the next key data points that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$135,639Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a low-pressure trough and monsoon influence will bring heavy showers and squally thunderstorms to Hong Kong on June 14, limiting the daily maximum to the 26–30°C range under extensive cloud cover and high humidity. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall due to long-term warming trends, yet the specific synoptic pattern today favors the 29°C and 30°C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Model consensus and climatological analogs support trader emphasis on this narrow band, as persistent rain makes extremes above 31°C unlikely while brief clear spells could reach 30°C. Updated HKO briefings and radar trends through the afternoon represent the next key data points that could shift resolution probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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