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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?

Jun 11

Jun 12

Jun 13

Jun 11

Jun 12

Jun 13

26°C 35%

28°C 25%

25°C 21%

27°C 21%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

26°C 35%

28°C 25%

25°C 21%

27°C 21%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

22°C or below

$127 Обс.

6%

23°C

$27 Обс.

1%

24°C

$146 Обс.

8%

25°C

$0 Обс.

21%

26°C

$13 Обс.

35%

27°C

$0 Обс.

21%

28°C

$0 Обс.

25%

29°C

$27 Обс.

1%

30°C

$27 Обс.

1%

31°C

$27 Обс.

1%

32°C or higher

$27 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles indicate a likely overnight minimum near 26°C on June 13, driven by expected cloud cover, light rain, and typical summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 26°C while the spread across 25–28°C outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty from variable steering flows, potential thunderstorm timing, and urban heat retention in dense areas. Seasonal guidance points to above-normal temperatures overall for June–August 2026, yet short-term diurnal ranges remain sensitive to incoming moisture and wind patterns, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine resolution criteria before the close of trading.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$423
Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles indicate a likely overnight minimum near 26°C on June 13, driven by expected cloud cover, light rain, and typical summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 26°C while the spread across 25–28°C outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty from variable steering flows, potential thunderstorm timing, and urban heat retention in dense areas. Seasonal guidance points to above-normal temperatures overall for June–August 2026, yet short-term diurnal ranges remain sensitive to incoming moisture and wind patterns, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine resolution criteria before the close of trading.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$423
Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «26°C» з 35%, далі «28°C» з 25%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 11, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?» — «26°C» з 35%. Наступний — «28°C» з 25%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.