Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,256 Обс.
$57,256 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,256 Обс.
$57,256 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
21°C or below
$1,090 Обс.
No
22°C
$1,765 Обс.
No
23°C
$3,087 Обс.
No
24°C
$5,088 Обс.
No
25°C
$8,900 Обс.
Yes
26°C
$22,823 Обс.
No
27°C
$4,500 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,301 Обс.
No
29°C
$6,013 Обс.
No
30°C
$1,912 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$777 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$57,256Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$57,256Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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