**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14, 2026, centers on 27–28°C because official forecasts and current conditions point to an overnight minimum in that narrow band.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple models indicate a daily range of roughly 26–30°C under cloudy skies, high humidity (85–90%), and the influence of an active southwest monsoon plus a trough of low pressure. These factors produce widespread cloud cover and showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling while also capping daytime peaks, keeping the minimum from dropping below 26°C or rising above 28°C. Climatologically, June averages near 27°C, and the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures reinforces this baseline. Recent model runs show only modest spread, with rain and wind patterns suppressing extremes; as a result, markets assign over 95% combined probability to 27–28°C outcomes. Updates from the Hong Kong Observatory or refined numerical weather prediction runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
28°C 65.1%
27°C 18%
26°C 3.9%
25°C <1%
$30,726 Обс.
$30,726 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
27%
28°C
69%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 65.1%
27°C 18%
26°C 3.9%
25°C <1%
$30,726 Обс.
$30,726 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
22°C or below
$1,291 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,905 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$2,950 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$2,866 Обс.
1%
26°C
$3,675 Обс.
4%
27°C
$1,884 Обс.
27%
28°C
$6,869 Обс.
69%
29°C
$6,708 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$505 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$462 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,755 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14, 2026, centers on 27–28°C because official forecasts and current conditions point to an overnight minimum in that narrow band.**
Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple models indicate a daily range of roughly 26–30°C under cloudy skies, high humidity (85–90%), and the influence of an active southwest monsoon plus a trough of low pressure. These factors produce widespread cloud cover and showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling while also capping daytime peaks, keeping the minimum from dropping below 26°C or rising above 28°C.
Climatologically, June averages near 27°C, and the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures reinforces this baseline. Recent model runs show only modest spread, with rain and wind patterns suppressing extremes; as a result, markets assign over 95% combined probability to 27–28°C outcomes. Updates from the Hong Kong Observatory or refined numerical weather prediction runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,726Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14, 2026, centers on 27–28°C because official forecasts and current conditions point to an overnight minimum in that narrow band.**
Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple models indicate a daily range of roughly 26–30°C under cloudy skies, high humidity (85–90%), and the influence of an active southwest monsoon plus a trough of low pressure. These factors produce widespread cloud cover and showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling while also capping daytime peaks, keeping the minimum from dropping below 26°C or rising above 28°C.
Climatologically, June averages near 27°C, and the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures reinforces this baseline. Recent model runs show only modest spread, with rain and wind patterns suppressing extremes; as a result, markets assign over 95% combined probability to 27–28°C outcomes. Updates from the Hong Kong Observatory or refined numerical weather prediction runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$30,726Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14, 2026, centers on 27–28°C because official forecasts and current conditions point to an overnight minimum in that narrow band.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple models indicate a daily range of roughly 26–30°C under cloudy skies, high humidity (85–90%), and the influence of an active southwest monsoon plus a trough of low pressure. These factors produce widespread cloud cover and showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling while also capping daytime peaks, keeping the minimum from dropping below 26°C or rising above 28°C. Climatologically, June averages near 27°C, and the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures reinforces this baseline. Recent model runs show only modest spread, with rain and wind patterns suppressing extremes; as a result, markets assign over 95% combined probability to 27–28°C outcomes. Updates from the Hong Kong Observatory or refined numerical weather prediction runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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