Persistent cloud cover and showers tied to the meiyu rainy season are keeping Shanghai’s maximum temperature suppressed on June 14, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 22–23 °C. Official forecasts from regional models show overcast skies, light rain, and limited solar heating, with highs projected near 24 °C (75 °F) or slightly below amid high humidity and easterly flow. These conditions deviate from the late-spring climatological average of 27–29 °C, explaining why probabilities above 24 °C remain low. Traders are monitoring the latest National Meteorological Center updates and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
22°C 47.6%
23°C 36%
24°C 14%
25°C 1.4%
$81,372 Обс.
$81,372 Обс.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
53%
23°C
36%
24°C
14%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 47.6%
23°C 36%
24°C 14%
25°C 1.4%
$81,372 Обс.
$81,372 Обс.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
53%
23°C
36%
24°C
14%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and showers tied to the meiyu rainy season are keeping Shanghai’s maximum temperature suppressed on June 14, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 22–23 °C. Official forecasts from regional models show overcast skies, light rain, and limited solar heating, with highs projected near 24 °C (75 °F) or slightly below amid high humidity and easterly flow. These conditions deviate from the late-spring climatological average of 27–29 °C, explaining why probabilities above 24 °C remain low. Traders are monitoring the latest National Meteorological Center updates and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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