Trader consensus centers on 25–26°C for Istanbul’s June 16 maximum, reflecting ensemble model guidance and June climatology near the long-term average high of 26°C. Primary drivers include moderate high-pressure ridging favoring diurnal warming without strong subsidence, combined with cooling sea breezes from the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara that typically cap peaks 1–3°C below inland values. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show limited spread around this range, with minor variability tied to exact timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud cover. Historical analogs indicate mid-June maxima rarely exceed 28°C absent anomalous heat advection. Updated short-range model outputs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
26°C 34%
25°C 27%
27°C 16%
24°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
22%
26°C
34%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 34%
25°C 27%
27°C 16%
24°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
$60 Обс.
1%
22°C
$0 Обс.
2%
23°C
$0 Обс.
5%
24°C
$0 Обс.
7%
25°C
$47 Обс.
22%
26°C
$46 Обс.
34%
27°C
$17 Обс.
16%
28°C
$16 Обс.
4%
29°C
$16 Обс.
5%
30°C
$30 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$424 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 25–26°C for Istanbul’s June 16 maximum, reflecting ensemble model guidance and June climatology near the long-term average high of 26°C. Primary drivers include moderate high-pressure ridging favoring diurnal warming without strong subsidence, combined with cooling sea breezes from the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara that typically cap peaks 1–3°C below inland values. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show limited spread around this range, with minor variability tied to exact timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud cover. Historical analogs indicate mid-June maxima rarely exceed 28°C absent anomalous heat advection. Updated short-range model outputs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$656Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 25–26°C for Istanbul’s June 16 maximum, reflecting ensemble model guidance and June climatology near the long-term average high of 26°C. Primary drivers include moderate high-pressure ridging favoring diurnal warming without strong subsidence, combined with cooling sea breezes from the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara that typically cap peaks 1–3°C below inland values. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show limited spread around this range, with minor variability tied to exact timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud cover. Historical analogs indicate mid-June maxima rarely exceed 28°C absent anomalous heat advection. Updated short-range model outputs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$656Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 25–26°C for Istanbul’s June 16 maximum, reflecting ensemble model guidance and June climatology near the long-term average high of 26°C. Primary drivers include moderate high-pressure ridging favoring diurnal warming without strong subsidence, combined with cooling sea breezes from the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara that typically cap peaks 1–3°C below inland values. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show limited spread around this range, with minor variability tied to exact timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud cover. Historical analogs indicate mid-June maxima rarely exceed 28°C absent anomalous heat advection. Updated short-range model outputs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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