**Short-range numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Seoul on June 16, 2026, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Recent runs show light southwesterly flow under a weakening ridge, with scattered clouds and modest moisture limiting full insolation and keeping afternoon temperatures from climbing higher; slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any thin cloud decks explain the tight 32.5 %–31.5 % probabilities. Historical early-June climatology places Seoul’s typical maximum around 26–28 °C, so the current setup sits slightly above average but remains sensitive to small forecast adjustments in dew-point or wind speed that could shift the peak by 1 °C either way. Updated model guidance and KMA’s 5 p.m. observation window on the 16th will be the key resolution drivers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
27°C 16%
30°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
30%
29°C
32%
30°C
12%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
27°C 16%
30°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
22°C or below
$319 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$840 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,826 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$915 Обс.
1%
26°C
$949 Обс.
4%
27°C
$950 Обс.
16%
28°C
$816 Обс.
30%
29°C
$917 Обс.
32%
30°C
$824 Обс.
12%
31°C
$259 Обс.
2%
32°C or higher
$422 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-range numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Seoul on June 16, 2026, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Recent runs show light southwesterly flow under a weakening ridge, with scattered clouds and modest moisture limiting full insolation and keeping afternoon temperatures from climbing higher; slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any thin cloud decks explain the tight 32.5 %–31.5 % probabilities. Historical early-June climatology places Seoul’s typical maximum around 26–28 °C, so the current setup sits slightly above average but remains sensitive to small forecast adjustments in dew-point or wind speed that could shift the peak by 1 °C either way. Updated model guidance and KMA’s 5 p.m. observation window on the 16th will be the key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,781Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-range numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Seoul on June 16, 2026, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Recent runs show light southwesterly flow under a weakening ridge, with scattered clouds and modest moisture limiting full insolation and keeping afternoon temperatures from climbing higher; slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any thin cloud decks explain the tight 32.5 %–31.5 % probabilities. Historical early-June climatology places Seoul’s typical maximum around 26–28 °C, so the current setup sits slightly above average but remains sensitive to small forecast adjustments in dew-point or wind speed that could shift the peak by 1 °C either way. Updated model guidance and KMA’s 5 p.m. observation window on the 16th will be the key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,781Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-range numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Seoul on June 16, 2026, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Recent runs show light southwesterly flow under a weakening ridge, with scattered clouds and modest moisture limiting full insolation and keeping afternoon temperatures from climbing higher; slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any thin cloud decks explain the tight 32.5 %–31.5 % probabilities. Historical early-June climatology places Seoul’s typical maximum around 26–28 °C, so the current setup sits slightly above average but remains sensitive to small forecast adjustments in dew-point or wind speed that could shift the peak by 1 °C either way. Updated model guidance and KMA’s 5 p.m. observation window on the 16th will be the key resolution drivers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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