Current short-range forecasts and model consensus for Wellington point to a maximum temperature near the June seasonal average of 12–13°C on the 16th, with MetService and international guidance showing daytime highs of 11–13°C amid typical mid-winter westerly flow. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the Wellington region, consistent with modest sea-surface temperatures and limited blocking highs that would otherwise produce warmer northerly anomalies. The tight spread between the 12°C (40%) and 13°C (33.5%) contracts reflects residual uncertainty in frontal timing and local orographic effects from the surrounding hills, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and wind direction; cooler 11°C outcomes gain support only if a southerly change arrives earlier than currently modeled.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
12°C 40%
13°C 30%
11°C 19%
14°C 3.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
19%
12°C
40%
13°C
30%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 40%
13°C 30%
11°C 19%
14°C 3.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
7°C or below
$117 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$63 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$50 Обс.
1%
10°C
$58 Обс.
3%
11°C
$151 Обс.
19%
12°C
$267 Обс.
40%
13°C
$433 Обс.
30%
14°C
$869 Обс.
3%
15°C
$206 Обс.
1%
16°C
$22 Обс.
1%
17°C or higher
$26 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts and model consensus for Wellington point to a maximum temperature near the June seasonal average of 12–13°C on the 16th, with MetService and international guidance showing daytime highs of 11–13°C amid typical mid-winter westerly flow. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the Wellington region, consistent with modest sea-surface temperatures and limited blocking highs that would otherwise produce warmer northerly anomalies. The tight spread between the 12°C (40%) and 13°C (33.5%) contracts reflects residual uncertainty in frontal timing and local orographic effects from the surrounding hills, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and wind direction; cooler 11°C outcomes gain support only if a southerly change arrives earlier than currently modeled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,976Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts and model consensus for Wellington point to a maximum temperature near the June seasonal average of 12–13°C on the 16th, with MetService and international guidance showing daytime highs of 11–13°C amid typical mid-winter westerly flow. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the Wellington region, consistent with modest sea-surface temperatures and limited blocking highs that would otherwise produce warmer northerly anomalies. The tight spread between the 12°C (40%) and 13°C (33.5%) contracts reflects residual uncertainty in frontal timing and local orographic effects from the surrounding hills, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and wind direction; cooler 11°C outcomes gain support only if a southerly change arrives earlier than currently modeled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,976Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts and model consensus for Wellington point to a maximum temperature near the June seasonal average of 12–13°C on the 16th, with MetService and international guidance showing daytime highs of 11–13°C amid typical mid-winter westerly flow. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the Wellington region, consistent with modest sea-surface temperatures and limited blocking highs that would otherwise produce warmer northerly anomalies. The tight spread between the 12°C (40%) and 13°C (33.5%) contracts reflects residual uncertainty in frontal timing and local orographic effects from the surrounding hills, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and wind direction; cooler 11°C outcomes gain support only if a southerly change arrives earlier than currently modeled.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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