Recent forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model ensembles points to a highest temperature on June 13 most likely near 29–30°C, shaped by southwest monsoon flow that sustains cloud cover and scattered showers, moderating peak daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend, while numerical weather prediction runs show minor differences in convection timing that explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 29–31°C. Historical June maxima averaging near 30°C provide additional context, with resolution hinging on official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory network once final readings are confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?
30°C 36%
29°C 23%
28°C 18%
31°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 13, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
18%
29°C
23%
30°C
30%
31°C
21%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
29°C 23%
28°C 18%
31°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 13, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
26°C
$50 Обс.
1%
27°C
$40 Обс.
1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
18%
29°C
$5 Обс.
23%
30°C
$3 Обс.
30%
31°C
$13 Обс.
21%
32°C
$10 Обс.
9%
33°C
$0 Обс.
5%
34°C
$30 Обс.
1%
35°C or higher
$30 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model ensembles points to a highest temperature on June 13 most likely near 29–30°C, shaped by southwest monsoon flow that sustains cloud cover and scattered showers, moderating peak daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend, while numerical weather prediction runs show minor differences in convection timing that explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 29–31°C. Historical June maxima averaging near 30°C provide additional context, with resolution hinging on official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory network once final readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$100Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model ensembles points to a highest temperature on June 13 most likely near 29–30°C, shaped by southwest monsoon flow that sustains cloud cover and scattered showers, moderating peak daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend, while numerical weather prediction runs show minor differences in convection timing that explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 29–31°C. Historical June maxima averaging near 30°C provide additional context, with resolution hinging on official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory network once final readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$100Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model ensembles points to a highest temperature on June 13 most likely near 29–30°C, shaped by southwest monsoon flow that sustains cloud cover and scattered showers, moderating peak daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend, while numerical weather prediction runs show minor differences in convection timing that explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 29–31°C. Historical June maxima averaging near 30°C provide additional context, with resolution hinging on official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory network once final readings are confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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