**Current official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international guidance strongly support a daily maximum of 14°C for Wellington on June 11, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, with average June highs near 13–14°C and rare exceedances above 15–16°C, align closely with observed steering patterns and limited diurnal warming under typical cloudy, windy regimes near Cook Strait. Recent model runs show high agreement on afternoon peaks without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push readings higher. Only an unforecasted shift in wind direction or sudden clearing could realistically alter the result before official verification, but current data indicate low likelihood of deviation from the 14°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
$60,732 Обс.
$60,732 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
$60,732 Обс.
$60,732 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
8°C or below
$317 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$311 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$1,743 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$2,590 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$6,242 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$16,016 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$11,563 Обс.
100%
15°C
$8,077 Обс.
1%
16°C
$9,389 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$4,048 Обс.
<1%
18°C or higher
$615 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international guidance strongly support a daily maximum of 14°C for Wellington on June 11, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, with average June highs near 13–14°C and rare exceedances above 15–16°C, align closely with observed steering patterns and limited diurnal warming under typical cloudy, windy regimes near Cook Strait. Recent model runs show high agreement on afternoon peaks without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push readings higher. Only an unforecasted shift in wind direction or sudden clearing could realistically alter the result before official verification, but current data indicate low likelihood of deviation from the 14°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$60,732Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international guidance strongly support a daily maximum of 14°C for Wellington on June 11, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, with average June highs near 13–14°C and rare exceedances above 15–16°C, align closely with observed steering patterns and limited diurnal warming under typical cloudy, windy regimes near Cook Strait. Recent model runs show high agreement on afternoon peaks without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push readings higher. Only an unforecasted shift in wind direction or sudden clearing could realistically alter the result before official verification, but current data indicate low likelihood of deviation from the 14°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$60,732Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international guidance strongly support a daily maximum of 14°C for Wellington on June 11, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, with average June highs near 13–14°C and rare exceedances above 15–16°C, align closely with observed steering patterns and limited diurnal warming under typical cloudy, windy regimes near Cook Strait. Recent model runs show high agreement on afternoon peaks without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push readings higher. Only an unforecasted shift in wind direction or sudden clearing could realistically alter the result before official verification, but current data indicate low likelihood of deviation from the 14°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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