Trader consensus in this Jeddah maximum-temperature market centers on ensemble forecasts from global and regional models clustering tightly around 37–39°C for June 13, reflecting limited model spread under a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover expected along the Red Sea coast. Small probability differences among these outcomes arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local sea-breeze strength, and precise timing of any weak trough passage, which can alter peak heating by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology shows typical daily maxima near 38°C with standard deviations of roughly 1.5°C, consistent with current guidance. Updated runs from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and ECMWF are due within the next 24–48 hours and will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 13?
38°C 28%
39°C 26%
37°C 18%
40°C or higher 12%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
6%
37°C
24%
38°C
28%
39°C
26%
40°C or higher
12%
38°C 28%
39°C 26%
37°C 18%
40°C or higher 12%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
6%
37°C
24%
38°C
28%
39°C
26%
40°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this Jeddah maximum-temperature market centers on ensemble forecasts from global and regional models clustering tightly around 37–39°C for June 13, reflecting limited model spread under a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover expected along the Red Sea coast. Small probability differences among these outcomes arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local sea-breeze strength, and precise timing of any weak trough passage, which can alter peak heating by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology shows typical daily maxima near 38°C with standard deviations of roughly 1.5°C, consistent with current guidance. Updated runs from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and ECMWF are due within the next 24–48 hours and will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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