Madrid's peak temperature on June 11 is expected to reach exactly 32°C based on the latest official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF ensemble runs, which converged on this value amid stable high-pressure conditions and light winds typical for early summer in central Spain. Observational data through midday aligned closely with model guidance showing daytime highs climbing to this threshold without exceeding it, consistent with climatological norms for the period where June averages hover near 28–30°C but recent patterns have trended slightly warmer. The near-certain market consensus reflects this strong model agreement and real-time station readings, though minor uncertainty remains around exact peak timing or localized variations that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C if final observations differ from projections.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on June 11?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 11?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$107,122 Обс.
$107,122 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$107,122 Обс.
$107,122 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
$3,347 Обс.
No
29°C
$1,403 Обс.
No
30°C
$3,930 Обс.
No
31°C
$13,662 Обс.
No
32°C
$25,848 Обс.
Yes
33°C
$19,238 Обс.
No
34°C
$18,274 Обс.
No
35°C
$12,400 Обс.
No
36°C
$6,778 Обс.
No
37°C
$944 Обс.
No
38°C or higher
$1,298 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Madrid's peak temperature on June 11 is expected to reach exactly 32°C based on the latest official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF ensemble runs, which converged on this value amid stable high-pressure conditions and light winds typical for early summer in central Spain. Observational data through midday aligned closely with model guidance showing daytime highs climbing to this threshold without exceeding it, consistent with climatological norms for the period where June averages hover near 28–30°C but recent patterns have trended slightly warmer. The near-certain market consensus reflects this strong model agreement and real-time station readings, though minor uncertainty remains around exact peak timing or localized variations that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C if final observations differ from projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$107,122Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Madrid's peak temperature on June 11 is expected to reach exactly 32°C based on the latest official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF ensemble runs, which converged on this value amid stable high-pressure conditions and light winds typical for early summer in central Spain. Observational data through midday aligned closely with model guidance showing daytime highs climbing to this threshold without exceeding it, consistent with climatological norms for the period where June averages hover near 28–30°C but recent patterns have trended slightly warmer. The near-certain market consensus reflects this strong model agreement and real-time station readings, though minor uncertainty remains around exact peak timing or localized variations that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C if final observations differ from projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$107,122Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Madrid's peak temperature on June 11 is expected to reach exactly 32°C based on the latest official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF ensemble runs, which converged on this value amid stable high-pressure conditions and light winds typical for early summer in central Spain. Observational data through midday aligned closely with model guidance showing daytime highs climbing to this threshold without exceeding it, consistent with climatological norms for the period where June averages hover near 28–30°C but recent patterns have trended slightly warmer. The near-certain market consensus reflects this strong model agreement and real-time station readings, though minor uncertainty remains around exact peak timing or localized variations that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C if final observations differ from projections.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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