Traders assign nearly equal weight to 15°C and 16°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show Warsaw’s daily maximum hovering right at the boundary between these values under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited insolation. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, cloud timing, and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread, while a northerly component in the flow keeps surface heating modest for mid-June. Historical climatology places typical highs several degrees higher, highlighting how the current synoptic setup suppresses peak temperatures. Fresh observational data and the next model cycle will likely narrow the resolution window before the market settles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 14?
15°C 49%
16°C 42%
17°C 12%
18°C 1.4%
$33,416 Обс.
$33,416 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
49%
16°C
42%
17°C
12%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 49%
16°C 42%
17°C 12%
18°C 1.4%
$33,416 Обс.
$33,416 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
10°C or below
$364 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$467 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$992 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$2,155 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$7,854 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$3,491 Обс.
49%
16°C
$4,559 Обс.
42%
17°C
$6,221 Обс.
12%
18°C
$4,109 Обс.
1%
19°C
$2,077 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$5,418 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly equal weight to 15°C and 16°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show Warsaw’s daily maximum hovering right at the boundary between these values under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited insolation. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, cloud timing, and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread, while a northerly component in the flow keeps surface heating modest for mid-June. Historical climatology places typical highs several degrees higher, highlighting how the current synoptic setup suppresses peak temperatures. Fresh observational data and the next model cycle will likely narrow the resolution window before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,416Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly equal weight to 15°C and 16°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show Warsaw’s daily maximum hovering right at the boundary between these values under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited insolation. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, cloud timing, and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread, while a northerly component in the flow keeps surface heating modest for mid-June. Historical climatology places typical highs several degrees higher, highlighting how the current synoptic setup suppresses peak temperatures. Fresh observational data and the next model cycle will likely narrow the resolution window before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$33,416Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly equal weight to 15°C and 16°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show Warsaw’s daily maximum hovering right at the boundary between these values under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited insolation. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, cloud timing, and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread, while a northerly component in the flow keeps surface heating modest for mid-June. Historical climatology places typical highs several degrees higher, highlighting how the current synoptic setup suppresses peak temperatures. Fresh observational data and the next model cycle will likely narrow the resolution window before the market settles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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