Latest forecast consensus from European meteorological centers places Warsaw's June 16 maximum near 19°C, supporting the market's leading 39.5% implied probability on that outcome and 33.5% on 20°C amid tight trader positioning. Moderate westerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and isolated showers are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating below mid-June climatological averages of 21–22°C. Model runs show limited divergence on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, creating narrow uncertainty between 18°C and 20°C thresholds while historical analogs favor readings in this range under similar synoptic setups. Traders will monitor updated model guidance and afternoon clearing potential ahead of official station observations for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
19°C 39%
20°C 32%
18°C 15%
21°C 7.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
15%
19°C
39%
20°C
32%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
20°C 32%
18°C 15%
21°C 7.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
15°C or below
$18 Обс.
1%
16°C
$79 Обс.
1%
17°C
$39 Обс.
3%
18°C
$184 Обс.
15%
19°C
$179 Обс.
39%
20°C
$204 Обс.
32%
21°C
$62 Обс.
7%
22°C
$15 Обс.
2%
23°C
$254 Обс.
1%
24°C
$406 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$165 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast consensus from European meteorological centers places Warsaw's June 16 maximum near 19°C, supporting the market's leading 39.5% implied probability on that outcome and 33.5% on 20°C amid tight trader positioning. Moderate westerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and isolated showers are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating below mid-June climatological averages of 21–22°C. Model runs show limited divergence on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, creating narrow uncertainty between 18°C and 20°C thresholds while historical analogs favor readings in this range under similar synoptic setups. Traders will monitor updated model guidance and afternoon clearing potential ahead of official station observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,548Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast consensus from European meteorological centers places Warsaw's June 16 maximum near 19°C, supporting the market's leading 39.5% implied probability on that outcome and 33.5% on 20°C amid tight trader positioning. Moderate westerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and isolated showers are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating below mid-June climatological averages of 21–22°C. Model runs show limited divergence on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, creating narrow uncertainty between 18°C and 20°C thresholds while historical analogs favor readings in this range under similar synoptic setups. Traders will monitor updated model guidance and afternoon clearing potential ahead of official station observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,548Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast consensus from European meteorological centers places Warsaw's June 16 maximum near 19°C, supporting the market's leading 39.5% implied probability on that outcome and 33.5% on 20°C amid tight trader positioning. Moderate westerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and isolated showers are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress daytime heating below mid-June climatological averages of 21–22°C. Model runs show limited divergence on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, creating narrow uncertainty between 18°C and 20°C thresholds while historical analogs favor readings in this range under similar synoptic setups. Traders will monitor updated model guidance and afternoon clearing potential ahead of official station observations for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання