Current short-range model guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service points to a typical mid-June pattern over Cape Town, with a high-pressure ridge and light southeasterly flow supporting daytime maxima near 18–19 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution between those two outcomes, reflecting minor run-to-run differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal approach from the south. Historical climatology shows June highs average 17–18 °C, so the slight upward bias in trader pricing captures the potential for limited warming under clearer skies while acknowledging the cool Benguela Current’s stabilizing influence and inherent forecast spread of roughly ±1 °C at this lead time. Updated model cycles and official guidance through June 15 will be the next key inputs for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
19°C 35%
18°C 32%
20°C 20%
17°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
32%
19°C
35%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 35%
18°C 32%
20°C 20%
17°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
14°C or below
$27 Обс.
1%
15°C
$18 Обс.
1%
16°C
$130 Обс.
4%
17°C
$38 Обс.
7%
18°C
$174 Обс.
32%
19°C
$9 Обс.
35%
20°C
$35 Обс.
20%
21°C
$21 Обс.
2%
22°C
$30 Обс.
2%
23°C
$52 Обс.
1%
24°C or higher
$51 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service points to a typical mid-June pattern over Cape Town, with a high-pressure ridge and light southeasterly flow supporting daytime maxima near 18–19 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution between those two outcomes, reflecting minor run-to-run differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal approach from the south. Historical climatology shows June highs average 17–18 °C, so the slight upward bias in trader pricing captures the potential for limited warming under clearer skies while acknowledging the cool Benguela Current’s stabilizing influence and inherent forecast spread of roughly ±1 °C at this lead time. Updated model cycles and official guidance through June 15 will be the next key inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$472Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service points to a typical mid-June pattern over Cape Town, with a high-pressure ridge and light southeasterly flow supporting daytime maxima near 18–19 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution between those two outcomes, reflecting minor run-to-run differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal approach from the south. Historical climatology shows June highs average 17–18 °C, so the slight upward bias in trader pricing captures the potential for limited warming under clearer skies while acknowledging the cool Benguela Current’s stabilizing influence and inherent forecast spread of roughly ±1 °C at this lead time. Updated model cycles and official guidance through June 15 will be the next key inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$472Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service points to a typical mid-June pattern over Cape Town, with a high-pressure ridge and light southeasterly flow supporting daytime maxima near 18–19 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution between those two outcomes, reflecting minor run-to-run differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal approach from the south. Historical climatology shows June highs average 17–18 °C, so the slight upward bias in trader pricing captures the potential for limited warming under clearer skies while acknowledging the cool Benguela Current’s stabilizing influence and inherent forecast spread of roughly ±1 °C at this lead time. Updated model cycles and official guidance through June 15 will be the next key inputs for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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